WTA 125 MallorcaRound of 32claybest of three sets

Masarova vs Noha Akugue 2:0: result and our tips

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Rebeka MasarovaWTA #171Elo 1704clay 1704
2:0final6:4 6:3
Noma Noha AkugueWTA #126Elo 1606clay 1623

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Masarova 16 of 20, Noha Akugue 12 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost36%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Masarova 12 of 20, Noha Akugue 7 of 20 (tour average 31%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Rebeka Masarova56%
Noma Noha Akugue44%

Elo: R. Masarova 61% · N. Noha Akugue 39%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Masarova34%
2:1 R. Masarova21%
2:1 N. Noha Akugue18%
2:0 N. Noha Akugue27%

First set

Rebeka Masarova52%
Noma Noha Akugue48%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%34%59%
19.559%41%52%
20.552%48%45%
21.548%52%42%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,481 matches

Games handicap

Rebeka Masarova −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Rebeka MasarovaNoma Noha Akugue
1Aces1
2Double faults4
68%First serves in57%
64%First-serve points won60%
70%Second-serve points won52%
3/5Break points converted1/5
9/10Service games held6/9
66%Service points won57%
43%Return points won34%
64Total points won51

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. MasarovaTourN. Noha Akugue
Service points won60%56%56%
Return points won42%44%45%
Service games held72%63%61%
Breaks of serve31%37%41%
Aces per service game0.460.19
Double faults per game0.410.30
Sets with a tie-break8%9%
Tie-breaks won4/107/9
Wins in straight sets39%87%
Matches in the sample4843

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Rebeka Masarova

Noma Noha Akugue

Elo over the last year

Rebeka MasarovaNoma Noha Akugue

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. MasarovaN. Noha Akugue
Hard court8–1044%10–759%
Clay11–955%12–1152%
Grass7–370%1–233%

Head to head

R. Masarova 2–0 N. Noha Akugue

  • 13/06/26Winner: Rebeka Masarova4:6 6:1 6:2
  • 16/10/23Winner: Rebeka Masarova6:4 6:0