Mashtakov vs Andreev 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Andreev won 7 of the last 10 matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: N. Mashtakov 44% · A. Andreev 57%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 73% | 27% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 65% | 35% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 56% | 44% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 42% | 58% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 36% | 64% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 33% | 67% | 37% |
Sample: 3,545 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 20.5out · 36 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Nikita Mashtakov | Adrian Andreev | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 1 |
| 5 | Double faults | 4 |
| 68% | First serves in | 63% |
| 59% | First-serve points won | 62% |
| 44% | Second-serve points won | 40% |
| 8/15 | Break points converted | 7/15 |
| 10/17 | Service games held | 9/17 |
| 54% | Service points won | 54% |
| 46% | Return points won | 46% |
| 124 | Total points won | 124 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| N. Mashtakov | Tour | A. Andreev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | 33% |
| Aces per service game | 0.24 | 0.22 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 21% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/6 | 4/5 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 67% | |
| Matches in the sample | 13 | 18 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Nikita Mashtakov
- 08/11/26WStephanos SchinasChallenger Hersonissos 3 · Q17:6 6:4
- 22/09/26LMaxim Mrva#226Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R324:6 6:4 2:6
- 21/09/26WPavlos Tsitsipas#985Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q26:3 6:1
- 20/09/26WAlexander Weis#503Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q16:1 6:3
- 14/09/26LFilip Pieczonka#875Challenger Szczecin · Q23:6 2:6
- 13/09/26WMario Gonzalez Fernandez#706Challenger Szczecin · Q17:5 6:1
- 03/09/26LJuan Manuel La Serna#216Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R162:6 4:6
- 01/09/26WStefan Popovic#685Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R327:5 7:6
- 31/08/26WJannik Opitz#822Challenger Plovdiv 3 · Q26:4 6:4
- 30/08/26WValentin BaselChallenger Plovdiv 3 · Q17:6 6:7 6:1
Adrian Andreev
- 08/11/26WRyotaro Taguchi#897Challenger Hersonissos 3 · Q17:5 6:3
- 05/11/26LMatteo Martineau#203Challenger Taranto · R164:6 6:2 5:7
- 04/11/26WJacopo Vasami#379Challenger Taranto · R323:3
- 03/11/26WMassimo Giunta#369Challenger Taranto · Q26:7 6:4 7:5
- 01/11/26WAndrea Colombo#819Challenger Taranto · Q16:1 6:1
- 18/10/26LIzan Almazan Valiente#399Challenger Florence · Q17:6 2:6 5:7
- 26/09/26LJonas Forejtek#303Challenger Plovdiv 4 · SF3:6 6:4 3:6
- 25/09/26WIzan Almazan Valiente#399Challenger Plovdiv 4 · QF6:1 6:2
- 24/09/26WIvan Ivanov#459Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R167:6 6:3
- 22/09/26WOleg Prihodko#438Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:1 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| N. Mashtakov | A. Andreev | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–0100% | 4–180% |
| Clay | 8–467% | 8–562% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Nikita Mashtakov
- 08/11/26WStephanos SchinasChallenger Hersonissos 3 · Q17:6 6:4
Adrian Andreev
- 08/11/26WRyotaro Taguchi#897Challenger Hersonissos 3 · Q17:5 6:3
Upcoming matches
- Robin Bertrand vs Henry Searle, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert, · ATP Stockholm
- Moise Kouame vs Jonas Forejtek, · Challenger Monastir
- Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud, · ATP Stockholm