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Challenger TarantoChallenger 50Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Giunta vs Andreev 1:2: result and our tips

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Massimo GiuntaATP #368Elo 1669hard 1605
1:2final7:6(4) 4:6 5:7
Adrian AndreevATP #631Elo 1640hard 1583

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Massimo Giunta58%
Adrian Andreev42%

Elo: M. Giunta 53% · A. Andreev 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Giunta37%
2:1 M. Giunta21%
2:1 A. Andreev17%
2:0 A. Andreev25%

First set

Massimo Giunta56%
Adrian Andreev44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 53%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 6,007 matches

Games handicap

M. Giunta −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 35 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Massimo GiuntaAdrian Andreev
11Aces3
1Double faults2
57%First serves in61%
71%First-serve points won76%
53%Second-serve points won75%
1/3Break points converted2/4
9/11Service games held10/11
63%Service points won75%
25%Return points won37%
65Total points won75

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. GiuntaTourA. Andreev
Service points won66%62%60%
Return points won36%38%42%
Service games held83%76%73%
Breaks of serve21%24%33%
Aces per service game0.530.22
Double faults per game0.200.21
Sets with a tie-break24%12%
Tie-breaks won7/184/4
Wins in straight sets77%78%
Matches in the sample3214

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Massimo Giunta

Adrian Andreev

Elo over the last year

Massimo GiuntaAdrian Andreev

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. GiuntaA. Andreev
Hard court7–558%1–0100%
Clay10–1050%8–562%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Massimo Giunta

Adrian Andreev