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Challenger TarantoChallenger 50Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Colombo vs Andreev 0:2: result and our tips

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Andrea ColomboATP #839Elo 1443hard 1445
0:2final1:6 1:6
Adrian AndreevATP #631Elo 1632hard 1570

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: AndreevWon70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 70%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Andreev won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Set Betting: Andreev 2-0Won47%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Colombo lost 0-2 in 3 of the last 6 matches, Andreev won 2-0 in 6 of the last 12 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Andrea Colombo29%
Adrian Andreev71%

Elo: A. Colombo 33% · A. Andreev 67%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Colombo17%
2:1 A. Colombo13%
2:1 A. Andreev22%
2:0 A. Andreev49%

First set

Andrea Colombo34%
Adrian Andreev66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 55%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%30%71%
19.562%39%62%
20.555%45%54%
21.549%51%49%
22.542%58%42%
23.537%63%37%
24.535%65%35%

Sample: 4,631 matches

Games handicap

A. Andreev −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 14 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Andrea ColomboAdrian Andreev
5Aces2
2Double faults1
67%First serves in62%
50%First-serve points won83%
21%Second-serve points won67%
0/0Break points converted5/8
2/7Service games held7/7
41%Service points won77%
23%Return points won60%
26Total points won55

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. ColomboTourA. Andreev
Service points won61%62%59%
Return points won37%38%41%
Service games held73%76%72%
Breaks of serve22%24%32%
Aces per service game0.440.22
Double faults per game0.220.21
Sets with a tie-break13%13%
Tie-breaks won1/24/4
Wins in straight sets67%75%
Matches in the sample713

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Andrea Colombo

  • 11/10/26LIvan Marrero Curbelo#386Challenger Olbia · Q14:6 1:6
  • 31/08/26LOlle Wallin#416Challenger Como · Q26:3 1:6 6:7
  • 30/08/26WGianmarco Ferrari#529Challenger Como · Q17:5 7:6
  • 31/05/26LOriol Roca Batalla#290Challenger Perugia · Q13:6 2:6
  • 03/02/26LJavier Barranco Cosano#615Challenger Tenerife · R323:6 1:6
  • 02/02/26WBruno Pujol NavarroChallenger Tenerife · Q24:6 6:4 3:0
  • 01/02/26WAdrien BurdetChallenger Tenerife · Q16:1 6:2

Adrian Andreev

  • 18/10/26LIzan Almazan Valiente#399Challenger Florence · Q17:6 2:6 5:7
  • 26/09/26LJonas Forejtek#308Challenger Plovdiv 4 · SF3:6 6:4 3:6
  • 25/09/26WIzan Almazan Valiente#399Challenger Plovdiv 4 · QF6:1 6:2
  • 24/09/26WIvan Ivanov#465Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R167:6 6:3
  • 22/09/26WOleg Prihodko#446Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:1 6:4
  • 21/09/26WDusan Obradovic#497Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q26:3 6:4
  • 20/09/26WSaba Purtseladze#593Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q14:6 6:0 3:2
  • 07/08/26LPyotr Nesterov#286Challenger Plovdiv 2 · QF4:6 1:6
  • 04/08/26WMurkel Dellien#450Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R326:1 7:6
  • 03/08/26WCarles Cordoba#761Challenger Plovdiv 2 · Q26:3 4:6 6:4

Elo over the last year

Andrea ColomboAdrian Andreev

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. ColomboA. Andreev
Hard court2–250%0–0
Clay1–233%8–562%

Head to head

They have not met yet.