Challenger SeoulChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Matsuda vs Kim 2:0: result and our tips

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Koki MatsudaATP #475Elo 1526hard 1523
2:0final7:6(3) 6:4
Geun Jun KimATP #919Elo 1500hard 1500

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Koki Matsuda72%
Geun Jun Kim28%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Matsuda49%
2:1 K. Matsuda22%
2:1 G. Kim13%
2:0 G. Kim16%

First set

Koki Matsuda66%
Geun Jun Kim34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 56%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%71%
19.564%36%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.551%49%49%
22.544%56%42%
23.538%62%37%
24.536%64%35%

Sample: 4,485 matches

Games handicap

Koki Matsuda −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Koki MatsudaGeun Jun Kim
1Aces4
0Double faults3
46%First serves in54%
87%First-serve points won69%
56%Second-serve points won56%
2/5Break points converted1/2
10/11Service games held9/11
70%Service points won63%
37%Return points won30%
76Total points won69

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. MatsudaTourG. Kim
Service points won63%62%—
Return points won36%38%—
Service games held78%76%—
Breaks of serve20%24%—
Aces per service game0.52—
Double faults per game0.18—
Sets with a tie-break19%—
Tie-breaks won13/17—
Wins in straight sets55%—
Matches in the sample35—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Koki Matsuda

  • 20/10/26LYi Zhou#280Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R321:6 3:6
  • 19/10/26WOmar Jasika#388Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:4 7:6
  • 18/10/26WMillen Hurrion#494Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:3 4:6 7:6
  • 06/10/26LEvan Zhu#462Challenger Wuning 3 · R323:6 3:6
  • 28/09/26LKeisuke Saitoh#478Challenger Jingshan · Q13:6 2:6
  • 15/09/26LArthur Weber#403Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R321:6 2:6
  • 10/09/26LPhilip Sekulic#339Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R162:6 6:4 5:7
  • 08/09/26WMartin Borisiouk#867Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R327:5 7:6
  • 02/09/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#405Challenger Zhangjiagang · R163:6 2:6
  • 01/09/26WJake Delaney#357Challenger Zhangjiagang · R327:6 7:6

Geun Jun Kim

No matches on record.

Elo over the last year

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. MatsudaG. Kim
Hard court20–1656%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.