Challenger CaliChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Meligeni Alves vs Claverie 2:0: result and our tips

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Felipe Meligeni AlvesATP #453Elo 1671clay 1686
2:0final6:2 6:4
Lorenzo ClaverieATP #889Elo 1449clay 1553

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won72%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Meligeni Alves: 10 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won47%

Where the number comes from: market alone 51% → with the players' profiles 47%

Meligeni Alves: 7 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Felipe Meligeni Alves83%
Lorenzo Claverie17%

Elo: F. Meligeni Alves 68% · L. Claverie 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Meligeni Alves61%
2:1 F. Meligeni Alves22%
2:1 L. Claverie8%
2:0 L. Claverie9%

First set

Felipe Meligeni Alves76%
Lorenzo Claverie24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 57%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%76%
18.567%33%68%
19.557%43%59%
20.549%51%52%
21.543%57%47%
22.538%62%40%
23.533%67%36%

Sample: 2,083 matches

Games handicap

Felipe Meligeni Alves −5.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Felipe Meligeni AlvesLorenzo Claverie
2Aces4
1Double faults2
59%First serves in58%
76%First-serve points won64%
70%Second-serve points won46%
3/6Break points converted0/0
9/9Service games held6/9
74%Service points won57%
43%Return points won27%
65Total points won51

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. Meligeni AlvesTourL. Claverie
Service points won61%62%66%
Return points won40%38%32%
Service games held74%76%84%
Breaks of serve26%24%12%
Aces per service game0.310.82
Double faults per game0.150.34
Sets with a tie-break14%41%
Tie-breaks won6/117/11
Wins in straight sets69%60%
Matches in the sample3411

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Lorenzo Claverie

  • 13/09/26LOzan Baris#408Challenger Tiburon · Q14:6 6:4 2:6
  • 23/08/26LArklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova#703Challenger Kingston 2 · Q14:6 1:6
  • 16/08/26LMiguel Tobon#506Challenger Kingston · Q17:6 2:6 6:7
  • 26/07/26LTristan Boyer#209ATP Los Cabos · R166:7 3:6
  • 19/07/26LBruno Kuzuhara#683Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Q16:4 4:6 6:7
  • 11/07/26LMatias Soto#252Challenger Bogota · SF5:7 5:7
  • 10/07/26WFacundo Mena#197Challenger Bogota · QF7:6 7:6
  • 09/07/26WNick Hardt#281Challenger Bogota · R167:6 7:6
  • 07/07/26WSamuel Heredia#634Challenger Bogota · R327:6 6:7 6:1
  • 06/07/26WChristopher PapaChallenger Bogota · Q26:4 3:6 6:3

Elo over the last year

Felipe Meligeni AlvesLorenzo Claverie

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. Meligeni AlvesL. Claverie
Hard court2–340%0–50%
Clay14–1450%5–183%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.