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ATP Vienna500Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Menšík vs Neumayer 2:0: result and our tips

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Jakub MenšíkATP #16Elo 2065hard 2046
2:0final6:2 6:2
Lukas NeumayerATP #168Elo 1831hard 1737

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jakub Menšík86%
Lukas Neumayer14%

Elo: J. Menšík 86% · L. Neumayer 15%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Menšík66%
2:1 J. Menšík20%
2:1 L. Neumayer7%
2:0 L. Neumayer8%

First set

Jakub Menšík78%
Lukas Neumayer22%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes27%
no73%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 56%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.579%21%83%
18.570%30%75%
19.560%40%67%
20.551%49%59%
21.544%56%53%
22.536%64%45%
23.530%70%39%

Sample: 2,020 matches

Games handicap

J. Menšík −4.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jakub MenšíkLukas Neumayer
11Aces0
1Double faults1
72%First serves in62%
89%First-serve points won61%
64%Second-serve points won42%
4/8Break points converted0/0
8/8Service games held4/8
82%Service points won54%
46%Return points won18%
55Total points won34

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. MenšíkTourL. Neumayer
Service points won66%62%62%
Return points won37%38%41%
Service games held84%76%77%
Breaks of serve21%24%31%
Aces per service game0.800.24
Double faults per game0.280.18
Sets with a tie-break19%12%
Tie-breaks won18/2810/20
Wins in straight sets56%66%
Matches in the sample5070

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jakub Menšík

Lukas Neumayer

Elo over the last year

Jakub MenšíkLukas Neumayer

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. MenšíkL. Neumayer
Hard court25–1071%9–756%
Clay8–467%35–1866%
Grass1–233%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Jakub Menšík

First match in this tournament.

Lukas Neumayer