Skip to content
ATP Vienna500Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Neumayer vs Droguet 2:0: result and our tips

·

Lukas NeumayerATP #168Elo 1810hard 1700
2:0final7:6(3) 6:3
Titouan DroguetATP #72Elo 1980hard 1947

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Droguet: 15 matches in a row over 20.5 games; Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Neumayer 11 of 20, Droguet 17 of 20 (tour average 60%)

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: DroguetLost67%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Neumayer lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Droguet won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%); Droguet: 5 matches in a row winning the first set

  • Match Winner: DroguetLost72%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 72%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Droguet won 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost35%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Neumayer 6 of 20, Droguet 12 of 20 (tour average 35%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lukas Neumayer29%
Titouan Droguet72%

Elo: L. Neumayer 19% · T. Droguet 81%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Neumayer16%
2:1 L. Neumayer13%
2:1 T. Droguet23%
2:0 T. Droguet48%

First set

Lukas Neumayer33%
Titouan Droguet67%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%68%
20.561%39%60%
21.555%45%54%
22.547%53%46%
23.541%60%40%
24.539%62%38%
25.535%65%35%

Sample: 4,489 matches

Games handicap

T. Droguet −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes41%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Lukas NeumayerTitouan Droguet
5Aces8
0Double faults3
77%First serves in55%
76%First-serve points won72%
80%Second-serve points won59%
1/4Break points converted0/1
11/11Service games held9/10
77%Service points won66%
34%Return points won23%
72Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. NeumayerTourT. Droguet
Service points won62%62%65%
Return points won41%38%37%
Service games held77%76%82%
Breaks of serve31%24%23%
Aces per service game0.240.66
Double faults per game0.180.19
Sets with a tie-break12%21%
Tie-breaks won9/1927/42
Wins in straight sets65%55%
Matches in the sample6980

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lukas Neumayer

Titouan Droguet

Elo over the last year

Lukas NeumayerTitouan Droguet

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. NeumayerT. Droguet
Hard court8–753%37–1473%
Clay35–1866%15–963%
Grass0–10%3–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Lukas Neumayer

Titouan Droguet