Mertens vs Świątek 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: E. Mertens 21% · I. Świątek 79%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 78% | 22% | 82% |
| 17.5 | 67% | 33% | 72% |
| 18.5 | 58% | 42% | 63% |
| 19.5 | 50% | 50% | 55% |
| 20.5 | 43% | 57% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 40% | 61% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 34% | 66% | 38% |
Sample: 1,311 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:0
- Total games Over 19.5in · 22 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Elise Mertens | Iga Świątek | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 1 |
| 1 | Double faults | 0 |
| 60% | First serves in | 80% |
| 87% | First-serve points won | 63% |
| 64% | Second-serve points won | 60% |
| 1/4 | Break points converted | 0/0 |
| 11/11 | Service games held | 9/10 |
| 78% | Service points won | 62% |
| 38% | Return points won | 22% |
| 77 | Total points won | 60 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| E. Mertens | Tour | I. Świątek | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 56% | 61% |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | 48% |
| Service games held | 71% | 63% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 36% | 37% | 45% |
| Aces per service game | 0.40 | 0.20 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.41 | 0.30 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 5% | 8% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/6 | 7/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 76% | |
| Matches in the sample | 49 | 53 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Elise Mertens
- 07/10/26WCoco Gauff#5WTA Beijing · R166:3 6:3
- 05/10/26WJeļena Ostapenko#34WTA Beijing · R326:2 3:6 6:3
- 03/10/26WKatie Volynets#88WTA Beijing · R646:0 4:6 7:5
- 25/09/26LMaja Chwalińska#22WTA Singapore · QF2:6 2:6
- 05/09/26LNaomi Osaka#18WTA US Open · R323:6 6:3 5:7
- 03/09/26WMaria Timofeeva#63WTA US Open · R646:2 7:6
- 01/09/26WKaitlin Quevedo#76WTA US Open · R1286:4 6:4
- 29/08/26LDiane Parry#32WTA Monterrey · F4:6 6:0 3:6
- 29/08/26WNikola Bartunkova#29WTA Monterrey · SF1:6 6:4 6:2
- 28/08/26WYuliia Starodubtseva#44WTA Monterrey · QF6:1 6:4
Iga Świątek
- 07/10/26WIva Jovic#11WTA Beijing · R166:1 6:3
- 05/10/26WDonna Vekic#36WTA Beijing · R324:6 7:6 6:2
- 03/10/26WXinyu Gao#220WTA Beijing · R646:2 6:3
- 07/09/26LQinwen Zheng#23WTA US Open · R165:7 3:6
- 05/09/26WMarie Bouzková#28WTA US Open · R327:6 7:6
- 03/09/26WNadia Podoroska#203WTA US Open · R646:3 6:2
- 31/08/26WXiyu Wang#91WTA US Open · R1286:2 6:3
- 22/08/26LJessica Pegula#4WTA Cincinnati · SF5:7 6:4 4:6
- 20/08/26WElena Rybakina#1WTA Cincinnati · QF4:1
- 19/08/26WDiane Parry#32WTA Cincinnati · R166:3 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| E. Mertens | I. Świątek | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 18–1162% | 27–975% |
| Clay | 5–456% | 9–469% |
| Grass | 7–464% | 2–250% |
Head to head
E. Mertens 0–2 I. Świątek
- 23/03/25Winner: Iga Świątek6:7 1:6
- 18/04/24Winner: Iga Świątek3:6 4:6
Road through the tournament
Elise Mertens
- 03/10/26WKatie Volynets#88WTA Beijing · R646:0 4:6 7:5
- 05/10/26WJeļena Ostapenko#34WTA Beijing · R326:2 3:6 6:3
- 07/10/26WCoco Gauff#5WTA Beijing · R166:3 6:3
Iga Świątek
- 03/10/26WXinyu Gao#220WTA Beijing · R646:2 6:3
- 05/10/26WDonna Vekic#36WTA Beijing · R324:6 7:6 6:2
- 07/10/26WIva Jovic#11WTA Beijing · R166:1 6:3