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Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Milavsky vs Wendelken 2:1: result and our tips

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Daniel MilavskyATP #312Elo 1672hard 1643
2:1final6:4 4:6 6:3
Harry WendelkenATP #212Elo 1697hard 1704

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Daniel Milavsky50%
Harry Wendelken50%

Elo: D. Milavsky 41% · H. Wendelken 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Milavsky31%
2:1 D. Milavsky19%
2:1 H. Wendelken19%
2:0 H. Wendelken31%

First set

Daniel Milavsky50%
Harry Wendelken50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 48%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,236 matches

Games handicap

D. Milavsky −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 29 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Daniel MilavskyHarry Wendelken
13Aces4
3Double faults6
52%First serves in52%
75%First-serve points won78%
59%Second-serve points won45%
2/12Break points converted1/9
14/15Service games held12/14
67%Service points won62%
38%Return points won33%
109Total points won96

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. MilavskyTourH. Wendelken
Service points won63%62%60%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held78%76%72%
Breaks of serve24%24%28%
Aces per service game0.510.33
Double faults per game0.320.26
Sets with a tie-break13%12%
Tie-breaks won7/138/15
Wins in straight sets63%44%
Matches in the sample4350

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Daniel Milavsky

Harry Wendelken

Elo over the last year

Daniel MilavskyHarry Wendelken

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. MilavskyH. Wendelken
Hard court20–1754%24–1562%
Clay0–10%0–30%
Grass4–180%3–538%

Head to head

They have not met yet.