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Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Quarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Misolic vs Ribecai 0:2: result and our tips

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Filip MisolicATP #688Elo 1730clay 1794
0:2final2:6 1:6
Michele RibecaiATP #265Elo 1635clay 1622

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Filip Misolic57%
Michele Ribecai43%

Elo: F. Misolic 73% · M. Ribecai 27%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Misolic37%
2:1 F. Misolic21%
2:1 M. Ribecai18%
2:0 M. Ribecai24%

First set

Filip Misolic56%
Michele Ribecai44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.547%53%47%
22.542%58%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,856 matches

Games handicap

F. Misolic −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Filip MisolicMichele Ribecai
1Aces0
0Double faults2
43%First serves in76%
6%First-serve points won66%
57%Second-serve points won46%
1/7Break points converted6/7
2/8Service games held6/7
35%Service points won61%
39%Return points won65%
35Total points won59

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. MisolicTourM. Ribecai
Service points won58%62%61%
Return points won41%38%41%
Service games held69%76%74%
Breaks of serve29%24%31%
Aces per service game0.320.15
Double faults per game0.300.19
Sets with a tie-break12%9%
Tie-breaks won3/66/15
Wins in straight sets88%69%
Matches in the sample2167

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Filip Misolic

  • 22/10/26WIzan Almazan Valiente#400Challenger Florence · R164:6 6:3 6:3
  • 20/10/26WFelix Gill#226Challenger Florence · R327:6 6:1
  • 19/10/26WDaniel Siniakov#495Challenger Florence · Q26:3 6:1
  • 18/10/26WDominik Recek#948Challenger Florence · Q16:2 6:2
  • 05/10/26LPatrick Schoen#339Challenger Braga · Q21:6 2:6
  • 04/10/26WTiago EsculcasChallenger Braga · Q16:2 6:0
  • 27/09/26LOleksandr Ovcharenko#623Challenger Bari · Q14:6 1:3
  • 21/09/26LSebastian Gima#508Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q23:6 6:4 3:6
  • 20/09/26WImanol Lopez Morillo#665Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q17:5 6:1
  • 13/09/26LM. Cerny#691Challenger Szczecin · Q16:4 5:7 4:6

Michele Ribecai

  • 22/10/26WMax Houkes#215Challenger Florence · R163:6 6:3 6:0
  • 19/10/26WJacopo Vasami#384Challenger Florence · R324:6 6:0 4:2
  • 13/10/26LRadu Mihai Papoe#277Challenger Catania · R323:6 4:6
  • 09/10/26LJonas Forejtek#303Challenger Palermo · QF1:6 6:1 6:7
  • 07/10/26WZdenek Kolar#203Challenger Palermo · R166:1 6:1
  • 06/10/26WBenito Sanchez Martinez#896Challenger Palermo · R325:7 7:5 6:0
  • 20/09/26LMathys DomencChallenger Saint Tropez · Q14:6 3:6
  • 16/09/26LTitouan Droguet#72Challenger Rennes · R326:7 4:6
  • 08/09/26LJay Friend#266Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:2 4:6 4:6
  • 03/09/26LJack Pinnington Jones#188Challenger Manacor · R161:6 0:6

Elo over the last year

Filip MisolicMichele Ribecai

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. MisolicM. Ribecai
Hard court1–811%15–1452%
Clay7–558%20–1853%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Filip Misolic

  • 18/10/26WDominik Recek#948Challenger Florence · Q16:2 6:2
  • 19/10/26WDaniel Siniakov#495Challenger Florence · Q26:3 6:1
  • 20/10/26WFelix Gill#226Challenger Florence · R327:6 6:1
  • 22/10/26WIzan Almazan Valiente#400Challenger Florence · R164:6 6:3 6:3

Michele Ribecai