Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Round of 16claybest of three sets
Ribecai vs Houkes: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 7h 21mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Michele Ribecai42%
Max Houkes58%
Elo: M. Ribecai 35% · M. Houkes 65%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Ribecai24%
2:1 M. Ribecai18%
2:1 M. Houkes21%
2:0 M. Houkes37%
First set
Michele Ribecai43%
Max Houkes57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 48%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 71% | 30% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 62% | 38% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 56% | 44% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 50% | 51% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 34% |
Sample: 4,888 matches
Games handicap
Max Houkes −2.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes26%
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Ribecai | Tour | M. Houkes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 72% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.15 | 0.38 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.19 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 19% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/15 | 7/15 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 66 | 35 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Michele Ribecai
- 19/10/26WJacopo Vasami#385Challenger Florence · R324:6 6:0 4:2
- 13/10/26LRadu Mihai Papoe#274Challenger Catania · R323:6 4:6
- 09/10/26LJonas Forejtek#299Challenger Palermo · QF1:6 6:1 6:7
- 07/10/26WZdenek Kolar#206Challenger Palermo · R166:1 6:1
- 06/10/26WBenito Sanchez Martinez#895Challenger Palermo · R325:7 7:5 6:0
- 20/09/26LMathys DomencChallenger Saint Tropez · Q14:6 3:6
- 16/09/26LTitouan Droguet#69Challenger Rennes · R326:7 4:6
- 08/09/26LJay Friend#272Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:2 4:6 4:6
- 03/09/26LJack Pinnington Jones#191Challenger Manacor · R161:6 0:6
- 02/09/26WSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#181Challenger Manacor · R323:6 6:2 6:2
Max Houkes
- 19/10/26WFranco Agamenone#359Challenger Florence · R327:6 5:7 6:1
- 13/08/26LJan Kumstat#192Challenger Hamburg · R164:6 6:7
- 11/08/26WSumit Nagal#281Challenger Hamburg · R327:5 6:2
- 06/08/26LJerome Kym#223Challenger Hagen · R163:6 6:7
- 04/08/26WVilius Gaubas#142Challenger Hagen · R322:6 6:4 6:4
- 28/07/26LRoberto Carballes Baena#259Challenger Bonn · R324:6 6:3 2:6
- 17/07/26LTom Gentzsch#161Challenger Bunschoten · QF6:3 6:7 4:6
- 15/07/26WMax Schoenhaus#302Challenger Bunschoten · R166:4 6:1
- 13/07/26WDavid Jorda Sanchis#193Challenger Bunschoten · R326:3 6:1
- 22/06/26LLaslo Djere#136ATP Wimbledon · Q14:6 5:7
Elo over the last year
Michele RibecaiMax Houkes
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Ribecai | M. Houkes | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 15–1452% | 1–325% |
| Clay | 19–1851% | 15–1452% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–20% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Michele Ribecai
- 19/10/26WJacopo Vasami#385Challenger Florence · R324:6 6:0 4:2
Max Houkes
- 19/10/26WFranco Agamenone#359Challenger Florence · R327:6 5:7 6:1