Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Misolic vs Siniakov 2:0: result and our tips

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Filip MisolicATP #495Elo 1695clay 1764
2:0final6:3 6:1
Daniel SiniakovATP #496Elo 1494clay 1501

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Filip Misolic74%
Daniel Siniakov26%

Elo: F. Misolic 82% · D. Siniakov 18%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Misolic51%
2:1 F. Misolic23%
2:1 D. Siniakov13%
2:0 D. Siniakov14%

First set

Filip Misolic67%
Daniel Siniakov33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 57%market (no margin): 53%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.573%27%76%
18.564%37%68%
19.556%44%59%
20.550%50%52%
21.543%57%47%
22.538%62%40%
23.535%65%36%

Sample: 3,329 matches

Games handicap

Filip Misolic −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Filip MisolicDaniel Siniakov
7Aces1
3Double faults3
55%First serves in55%
74%First-serve points won55%
64%Second-serve points won41%
5/13Break points converted1/6
7/8Service games held3/8
69%Service points won48%
52%Return points won31%
65Total points won44

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. MisolicTourD. Siniakov
Service points won58%62%60%
Return points won39%38%41%
Service games held69%76%69%
Breaks of serve25%24%30%
Aces per service game0.320.25
Double faults per game0.290.34
Sets with a tie-break13%20%
Tie-breaks won3/64/10
Wins in straight sets100%50%
Matches in the sample2022

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Filip Misolic

  • 18/10/26WDominik Recek#844Challenger Florence · Q16:2 6:2
  • 05/10/26LPatrick Schoen#343Challenger Braga · Q21:6 2:6
  • 04/10/26WTiago EsculcasChallenger Braga · Q16:2 6:0
  • 27/09/26LOleksandr Ovcharenko#616Challenger Bari · Q14:6 1:3
  • 21/09/26LSebastian Gima#491Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q23:6 6:4 3:6
  • 20/09/26WImanol Lopez Morillo#661Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q17:5 6:1
  • 13/09/26LM. Cerny#678Challenger Szczecin · Q16:4 5:7 4:6
  • 10/09/26LMika Brunold#195Challenger Tulln · R161:6 7:6 2:6
  • 08/09/26WHenri Squire#292Challenger Tulln · R326:4 6:0
  • 01/09/26LFrancisco Cerúndolo#21ATP US Open · R1284:6 3:6 5:7

Daniel Siniakov

Elo over the last year

Filip MisolicDaniel Siniakov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. MisolicD. Siniakov
Hard court2–918%0–10%
Clay4–544%10–1148%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Filip Misolic

Daniel Siniakov