Monteiro vs Rocha 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Monteiro 14 of 20, Rocha 14 of 20 (tour average 52%); Monteiro: 6 matches in a row over 20.5 games
Other tips
- Match Winner: RochaWon66%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Rocha won 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Monteiro 12 of 20, Rocha 7 of 20 (tour average 36%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: T. Monteiro 44% · H. Rocha 56%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 75% | 25% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 34% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 41% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
Sample: 4,602 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 22.5out · 28 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Thiago Monteiro | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aces | 3 |
| 3 | Double faults | 3 |
| 72% | First serves in | 65% |
| 56% | First-serve points won | 64% |
| 58% | Second-serve points won | 61% |
| 4/8 | Break points converted | 5/11 |
| 9/14 | Service games held | 10/14 |
| 56% | Service points won | 63% |
| 38% | Return points won | 44% |
| 79 | Total points won | 88 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Monteiro | Tour | H. Rocha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.36 | 0.28 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.27 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/24 | 14/25 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 73% | |
| Matches in the sample | 56 | 66 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Thiago Monteiro
- 19/10/26WAlejandro Moro Canas#232Challenger Lisbon · R326:3 7:6
- 13/10/26LMarco Trungelliti#90Challenger Maia · R326:4 1:6 4:6
- 05/10/26LElmer Moller#163Challenger Braga · R326:7 7:5 4:6
- 22/09/26LMika Petkovic#424Challenger Genoa 2 · R326:4 4:6 1:6
- 20/09/26LNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo#154Challenger Szczecin · F6:4 3:6 6:7
- 19/09/26WMarco Trungelliti#90Challenger Szczecin · SF6:4 3:6 6:3
- 18/09/26WDiego Dedura#190Challenger Szczecin · QF6:4 6:2
- 16/09/26WVitaliy Sachko#175Challenger Szczecin · R166:7 6:4 7:6
- 14/09/26WStefano Travaglia#167Challenger Szczecin · R326:3 7:6
- 10/09/26LJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva#188Challenger Tulln · R163:6 4:6
Henrique Rocha
- 19/10/26WDali Blanch#320Challenger Lisbon · R326:4 7:5
- 12/10/26LSumit Nagal#281Challenger Maia · R326:3 5:7 6:7
- 04/10/26WInaki Montes-de la Torre#185Challenger Porto 2 · F2:6 6:4 6:4
- 02/10/26WAugust Holmgren#258Challenger Porto 2 · QF6:3 7:6
- 01/10/26WMili Poljicak#270Challenger Porto 2 · R166:2 6:0
- 29/09/26WCezar Cretu#275Challenger Porto 2 · R327:5 6:3
- 11/09/26LDusan Lajovic#162Challenger Seville · QF4:6 4:6
- 10/09/26WSantiago Rodriguez Taverna#443Challenger Seville · R166:4 6:1
- 08/09/26WCarlos Taberner#447Challenger Seville · R326:3 7:6
- 26/08/26LLloyd Harris#104ATP US Open · Q26:2 2:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Monteiro | H. Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 13–959% |
| Clay | 34–2261% | 26–1465% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 1–325% |
Head to head
T. Monteiro 0–1 H. Rocha
- 07/03/26Winner: Henrique Rocha0:6 7:6 3:6
Road through the tournament
Thiago Monteiro
- 19/10/26WAlejandro Moro Canas#232Challenger Lisbon · R326:3 7:6
Henrique Rocha
- 19/10/26WDali Blanch#320Challenger Lisbon · R326:4 7:5