Mrva vs Maestrelli: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: M. Mrva 58% · F. Maestrelli 42%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 71% | 29% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 37% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 50% | 50% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 5,765 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Mrva | Tour | F. Maestrelli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 57% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 66% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 37% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.25 | 0.59 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.34 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 22% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/18 | 16/31 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 51% | 56% | |
| Matches in the sample | 67 | 58 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Maxim Mrva
- 13/10/26WHynek Barton#288Challenger Olbia · R326:2 2:1
- 24/09/26LIzan Almazan Valiente#428Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R165:7 6:0 2:6
- 22/09/26WNikita Mashtakov#513Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:4 4:6 6:2
- 07/09/26LMarvin Moeller#239Challenger Tulln · R322:5
- 03/09/26LFederico Iannaccone#587Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R164:6 4:6
- 01/09/26WOleg Prihodko#458Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R327:5 6:7 6:1
- 20/08/26LJan Kumstat#191Challenger Prague · QF1:6 5:7
- 19/08/26WCezar Cretu#276Challenger Prague · R166:1 6:2
- 18/08/26WNerman Fatic#454Challenger Prague · R322:6 6:2 6:4
- 16/08/26WNicolas Kicker#351Challenger Todi · F6:2 6:2
Francesco Maestrelli
- 13/10/26WMili Poljicak#286Challenger Olbia · R326:2 6:3
- 06/10/26LOliver Tarvet#307Challenger Villena · R326:4 3:6 4:6
- 21/09/26LAndrea Guerrieri#165Challenger Saint Tropez · R323:6 7:6 3:6
- 18/09/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#189Challenger Rennes · QF0:6 3:6
- 17/09/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#509Challenger Rennes · R164:6 7:6 6:3
- 16/09/26WArthur Nagel#354Challenger Rennes · R326:4 7:6
- 11/09/26LMaks Kaśnikowski#238Challenger Istanbul 3 · QF0:6 6:2 1:6
- 09/09/26WAlafia Ayeni#448Challenger Istanbul 3 · R166:7 6:1 6:4
- 08/09/26WJuan Pablo Ficovich#366Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:2 6:2
- 24/08/26LToby Samuel#100ATP US Open · Q17:6 3:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Mrva | F. Maestrelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–964% | 25–1858% |
| Clay | 23–1955% | 2–1017% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–30% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Maxim Mrva
- 13/10/26WHynek Barton#288Challenger Olbia · R326:2 2:1
Francesco Maestrelli
- 13/10/26WMili Poljicak#286Challenger Olbia · R326:2 6:3