WTA BeijingWTA 1000Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Muchová vs Bartunkova 0:2: result and our tips

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Karolína MuchováWTA #7Elo 2157hard 2135
0:2final3:6 0:6
Nikola BartunkovaWTA #29Elo 1996hard 1954

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Muchova 13 of 20, Bartunkova 17 of 20 (tour average 63%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: MuchovaLost70%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 70%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Muchova won 8 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Karolína Muchová70%
Nikola Bartunkova30%

Elo: K. Muchová 74% · N. Bartunkova 26%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Muchová48%
2:1 K. Muchová21%
2:1 N. Bartunkova14%
2:0 N. Bartunkova17%

First set

Karolína Muchová66%
Nikola Bartunkova34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%72%
18.567%33%64%
19.559%41%55%
20.552%48%49%
21.546%54%44%
22.540%60%38%
23.536%64%34%

Sample: 1,885 matches

Games handicap

Karolína Muchová −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Karolína MuchováNikola Bartunkova
1Aces3
3Double faults0
60%First serves in52%
45%First-serve points won65%
32%Second-serve points won76%
1/2Break points converted5/16
2/7Service games held7/8
40%Service points won71%
30%Return points won60%
32Total points won60

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. MuchováTourN. Bartunkova
Service points won63%56%59%
Return points won43%44%43%
Service games held77%63%70%
Breaks of serve35%37%35%
Aces per service game0.330.37
Double faults per game0.160.40
Sets with a tie-break6%13%
Tie-breaks won8/86/19
Wins in straight sets63%51%
Matches in the sample5559

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Karolína Muchová

Nikola Bartunkova

Elo over the last year

Karolína MuchováNikola Bartunkova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. MuchováN. Bartunkova
Hard court26–779%24–1365%
Clay6–367%5–550%
Grass11–285%8–467%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Karolína Muchová

Nikola Bartunkova

See also