ATP Almaty250Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Nurlanuly vs Macháč 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Zangar Nurlanuly2%
Tomáš Macháč98%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 Z. Nurlanuly2%
2:1 Z. Nurlanuly2%
2:1 T. Macháč12%
2:0 T. Macháč84%
First set
Zangar Nurlanuly9%
Tomáš Macháč91%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes14%
no86%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 17.5 · 55%market (no margin): 50%
The 17.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 19.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.5 | 88% | 12% | 98% |
| 15.5 | 78% | 22% | 95% |
| 16.5 | 67% | 33% | 90% |
| 17.5 | 55% | 45% | 83% |
| 18.5 | 43% | 57% | 75% |
| 19.5 | 35% | 65% | 66% |
| 20.5 | 28% | 72% | 58% |
Sample: 721 matches
Games handicap
Tomáš Macháč −6.548%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes17%
tour average 36%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Over 17.5out · 14 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Zangar Nurlanuly | Tomáš Macháč | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 8 |
| 2 | Double faults | 1 |
| 61% | First serves in | 62% |
| 42% | First-serve points won | 85% |
| 35% | Second-serve points won | 44% |
| 1/4 | Break points converted | 6/8 |
| 1/7 | Service games held | 6/7 |
| 40% | Service points won | 69% |
| 31% | Return points won | 61% |
| 30 | Total points won | 55 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Z. Nurlanuly | Tour | T. Macháč | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 57% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 67% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.35 | 0.41 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.50 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 0% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 0/0 | 10/16 | |
| Wins in straight sets | — | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 3 | 37 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Zangar Nurlanuly
- 11/08/26LFajing Sun#296Challenger Astana · R322:6 6:3 2:6
- 28/04/26LEdas Butvilas#209Challenger Shymkent 2 · R320:6 3:6
- 21/04/26LIvan Gakhov#503Challenger Shymkent · R323:6 5:7
- 28/07/25LRicardas BerankisChallenger Astana · R322:6 2:6
Tomáš Macháč
- 16/10/26LLiam Draxl#197Challenger Jinan · QF4:6 6:3 4:6
- 15/10/26WAleksandar Vukic#116Challenger Jinan · R166:2 6:1
- 13/10/26WAlexandre Muller#131Challenger Jinan · R326:3 6:4
- 09/10/26LAlexander Bublik#19ATP Shanghai · R644:6 6:7
- 07/10/26WZhizhen Zhang#170ATP Shanghai · R1281:6 7:6 6:2
- 01/10/26LAlex Molcan#80ATP Beijing · R323:6 2:6
- 29/09/26LArthur Gea#44ATP Beijing · Q23:6 4:6
- 28/09/26WYannick Hanfmann#59ATP Beijing · Q17:6 6:7 6:4
- 30/08/26LToby Samuel#96ATP US Open · R1282:6 3:6 2:6
- 25/08/26LMees Rottgering#331ATP Winston Salem · R322:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Zangar NurlanulyTomáš Macháč
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Z. Nurlanuly | T. Macháč | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–10% | 12–1446% |
| Clay | 0–20% | 6–555% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.