Challenger JinanChallenger 175Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying
Macháč vs Draxl: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 12h 53mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Tomáš Macháč75%
Liam Draxl26%
Elo: T. Macháč 73% · L. Draxl 27%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 T. Macháč53%
2:1 T. Macháč22%
2:1 L. Draxl11%
2:0 L. Draxl14%
First set
Tomáš Macháč69%
Liam Draxl31%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%
Total games
Expected total: 22.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 28% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 64% | 36% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 64% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 34% | 66% | 35% |
Sample: 3,885 matches
Games handicap
Tomáš Macháč −4.544%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes33%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Macháč | Tour | L. Draxl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.41 | 0.41 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/16 | 12/25 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 36 | 62 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Tomáš Macháč
- 15/10/26WAleksandar Vukic#115Challenger Jinan · R166:2 6:1
- 13/10/26WAlexandre Muller#133Challenger Jinan · R326:3 6:4
- 09/10/26LAlexander Bublik#22ATP Shanghai · R644:6 6:7
- 07/10/26WZhizhen Zhang#166ATP Shanghai · R1281:6 7:6 6:2
- 01/10/26LAlex Molcan#84ATP Beijing · R323:6 2:6
- 29/09/26LArthur Gea#56ATP Beijing · Q23:6 4:6
- 28/09/26WYannick Hanfmann#57ATP Beijing · Q17:6 6:7 6:4
- 30/08/26LToby Samuel#100ATP US Open · R1282:6 3:6 2:6
- 25/08/26LMees Rottgering#327ATP Winston Salem · R322:6 6:7
- 14/08/26LPablo Carreno Busta#65ATP Cincinnati · R1283:6 2:6
Liam Draxl
- 15/10/26WIlya Ivashka#237Challenger Jinan · R166:4 0:6 6:4
- 14/10/26WJames Duckworth#64Challenger Jinan · R326:4 6:4
- 13/10/26WOmar Jasika#422Challenger Jinan · Q25:7 7:6 6:4
- 11/10/26WYutong DuChallenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:0
- 06/10/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#124ATP Shanghai · Q27:5 5:7 4:6
- 05/10/26WHugo Gaston#89ATP Shanghai · Q17:5 6:4
- 23/09/26LHenry Searle#228Challenger San Diego 2 · R166:7 6:2 4:6
- 22/09/26WJack Kennedy#401Challenger San Diego 2 · R326:4 6:4
- 28/08/26LTristan Schoolkate#155ATP US Open · Q36:4 5:7 6:7
- 26/08/26WAndrew Johnson#729ATP US Open · Q26:4 6:2
Elo over the last year
Tomáš MacháčLiam Draxl
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Macháč | L. Draxl | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–1348% | 29–1960% |
| Clay | 6–555% | 7–654% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Tomáš Macháč
- 13/10/26WAlexandre Muller#133Challenger Jinan · R326:3 6:4
- 15/10/26WAleksandar Vukic#115Challenger Jinan · R166:2 6:1
Liam Draxl
- 11/10/26WYutong DuChallenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:0
- 13/10/26WOmar Jasika#422Challenger Jinan · Q25:7 7:6 6:4
- 14/10/26WJames Duckworth#64Challenger Jinan · R326:4 6:4
- 15/10/26WIlya Ivashka#237Challenger Jinan · R166:4 0:6 6:4