Draxl vs Duckworth: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 71%
Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Draxl 13 of 20, Duckworth 16 of 20 (tour average 62%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 31% → with the players' profiles 33%
Over 26.5 games in recent matches: Draxl 8 of 20, Duckworth 7 of 20 (tour average 27%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: L. Draxl 41% · J. Duckworth 59%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 29% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 63% | 37% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 50% | 50% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 44% | 56% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 5,791 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Draxl | Tour | J. Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 85% |
| Breaks of serve | 28% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.40 | 0.62 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/25 | 16/35 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 62% | |
| Matches in the sample | 60 | 71 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Liam Draxl
- 13/10/26WOmar Jasika#422Challenger Jinan · Q25:7 7:6 6:4
- 11/10/26WYutong DuChallenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:0
- 06/10/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#124ATP Shanghai · Q27:5 5:7 4:6
- 05/10/26WHugo Gaston#89ATP Shanghai · Q17:5 6:4
- 23/09/26LHenry Searle#228Challenger San Diego 2 · R166:7 6:2 4:6
- 22/09/26WJack Kennedy#401Challenger San Diego 2 · R326:4 6:4
- 28/08/26LTristan Schoolkate#155ATP US Open · Q36:4 5:7 6:7
- 26/08/26WAndrew Johnson#729ATP US Open · Q26:4 6:2
- 25/08/26WNicolas Mejia#119ATP US Open · Q16:4 6:7 6:4
- 18/08/26LAndres Andrade#203Challenger Kingston · R322:6 3:6
James Duckworth
- 08/10/26LHubert Hurkacz#34ATP Shanghai · R1283:6 6:7
- 24/09/26LLorenzo Sonego#87ATP Chengdu · R324:6 4:6
- 02/09/26LYibing Wu#113ATP US Open · R645:7 3:6 1:6
- 31/08/26WMatteo Arnaldi#38ATP US Open · R1285:7 6:3 6:2 7:6
- 28/08/26LArthur Fery#37ATP Winston Salem · SF4:6 2:1
- 28/08/26WFabian Marozsan#63ATP Winston Salem · QF6:7 6:2 6:4
- 26/08/26WLorenzo Sonego#87ATP Winston Salem · R167:5 6:3
- 25/08/26WMariano Navone#47ATP Winston Salem · R326:3 7:6
- 24/08/26WQuinn Vandecasteele#473ATP Winston Salem · R646:2 6:1
- 15/08/26LArthur Fery#37ATP Cincinnati · R644:6 6:2 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Draxl | J. Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 27–1959% | 29–2158% |
| Clay | 7–654% | 11–473% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 2–433% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Liam Draxl
- 11/10/26WYutong DuChallenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:0
- 13/10/26WOmar Jasika#422Challenger Jinan · Q25:7 7:6 6:4
James Duckworth
First match in this tournament.