Draxl vs Jasika 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Draxl won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Jasika lost the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: L. Draxl 75% · O. Jasika 25%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 77% | 23% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 49% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 45% | 55% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 39% | 61% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 34% | 66% | 37% |
Sample: 3,406 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 20.5in · 35 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Liam Draxl | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Aces | 0 |
| 1 | Double faults | 3 |
| 68% | First serves in | 71% |
| 79% | First-serve points won | 70% |
| 42% | Second-serve points won | 58% |
| 2/8 | Break points converted | 2/7 |
| 15/17 | Service games held | 15/17 |
| 67% | Service points won | 67% |
| 33% | Return points won | 33% |
| 112 | Total points won | 109 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Draxl | Tour | O. Jasika | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 28% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.40 | 0.19 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/24 | 8/15 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 67% | |
| Matches in the sample | 59 | 44 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Liam Draxl
- 11/10/26WYutong DuChallenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:0
- 06/10/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#124ATP Shanghai · Q27:5 5:7 4:6
- 05/10/26WHugo Gaston#89ATP Shanghai · Q17:5 6:4
- 23/09/26LHenry Searle#228Challenger San Diego 2 · R166:7 6:2 4:6
- 22/09/26WJack Kennedy#401Challenger San Diego 2 · R326:4 6:4
- 28/08/26LTristan Schoolkate#155ATP US Open · Q36:4 5:7 6:7
- 26/08/26WAndrew Johnson#729ATP US Open · Q26:4 6:2
- 25/08/26WNicolas Mejia#119ATP US Open · Q16:4 6:7 6:4
- 18/08/26LAndres Andrade#203Challenger Kingston · R322:6 3:6
- 04/08/26LDaniel Merida#44ATP Montreal · R1286:3 4:6 4:6
Omar Jasika
- 11/10/26WPetr Bar Biryukov#278Challenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:2
- 10/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#525Challenger Wuning 3 · SF6:7 3:6
- 09/10/26WTimofei Derepasko#662Challenger Wuning 3 · QF6:3 6:2
- 07/10/26WMarat Sharipov#234Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:3 3:0
- 06/10/26WMartin Borisiouk#869Challenger Wuning 3 · R324:6 6:3 7:5
- 30/09/26LDane Sweeny#112Challenger Jingshan · R322:6 6:3 3:6
- 29/09/26WHiroki Moriya#505Challenger Jingshan · Q26:4 6:4
- 28/09/26WChase Ferguson#595Challenger Jingshan · Q16:3 6:1
- 22/09/26LAlex Bolt#170ATP Hangzhou · Q14:6 3:6
- 15/09/26LLuca Castelnuovo#455Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R327:6 2:6 0:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Draxl | O. Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 26–1958% | 17–2540% |
| Clay | 7–654% | 1–150% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Omar Jasika
- 11/10/26WPetr Bar Biryukov#278Challenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:2