Challenger Wuning 3Challenger 50Semifinalhardbest of three sets

Kachmazov vs Jasika 2:0: result and our tips

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Alibek KachmazovATP #525Elo 1651hard 1657
2:0final7:6(4) 6:3
Omar JasikaATP #422Elo 1544hard 1542

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoLost64%

Where the number comes from: market alone 66% → with the players' profiles 64%

Jasika: 9 matches in a row without a tie-break

Other tips

  • Match Winner: KachmazovWon67%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 67%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Kachmazov: 5 wins in a row

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alibek Kachmazov67%
Omar Jasika33%

Elo: A. Kachmazov 66% · O. Jasika 34%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Kachmazov44%
2:1 A. Kachmazov22%
2:1 O. Jasika14%
2:0 O. Jasika19%

First set

Alibek Kachmazov62%
Omar Jasika38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.538%62%35%
25.535%65%32%

Sample: 5,177 matches

Games handicap

Alibek Kachmazov −3.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Alibek KachmazovOmar Jasika
12Aces0
1Double faults2
53%First serves in72%
81%First-serve points won51%
42%Second-serve points won63%
4/7Break points converted3/6
8/11Service games held6/10
63%Service points won54%
46%Return points won37%
82Total points won67

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. KachmazovTourO. Jasika
Service points won64%62%61%
Return points won38%38%37%
Service games held80%76%74%
Breaks of serve24%24%22%
Aces per service game0.600.19
Double faults per game0.210.23
Sets with a tie-break33%15%
Tie-breaks won6/98/14
Wins in straight sets83%65%
Matches in the sample1142

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alibek Kachmazov

  • 09/10/26WFajing Sun#303Challenger Wuning 3 · QF6:3 6:4
  • 08/10/26WEvan Zhu#479Challenger Wuning 3 · R167:6 7:6
  • 06/10/26WCharles Broom#268Challenger Wuning 3 · R324:6 7:6 6:4
  • 05/10/26WGrigoriy Lomakin#865Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:1 6:1
  • 04/10/26WYan Lang ChenChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:2
  • 07/09/26LGabriel Ghetu#570Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q26:7 6:2 4:6
  • 06/09/26WLouis Wessels#435Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q16:3 7:6
  • 09/08/26LColin Sinclair#485Challenger Astana · Q16:7 7:6 2:6
  • 08/02/26LAlejo Sanchez Quilez#375Challenger Tenerife 2 · Q16:0 4:6 2:6
  • 02/02/26LGabriele Piraino#392Challenger Tenerife · R326:7 7:6 2:6

Omar Jasika

Elo over the last year

Alibek KachmazovOmar Jasika

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. KachmazovO. Jasika
Hard court6–555%16–2440%
Clay0–01–150%

Head to head

A. Kachmazov 1–1 O. Jasika

  • 25/04/25Winner: Alibek Kachmazov6:4 6:2
  • 04/07/22Winner: Omar Jasika2:6 1:6

Road through the tournament

Alibek Kachmazov

  • 04/10/26WYan Lang ChenChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:2
  • 05/10/26WGrigoriy Lomakin#865Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:1 6:1
  • 06/10/26WCharles Broom#268Challenger Wuning 3 · R324:6 7:6 6:4
  • 08/10/26WEvan Zhu#479Challenger Wuning 3 · R167:6 7:6
  • 09/10/26WFajing Sun#303Challenger Wuning 3 · QF6:3 6:4

Omar Jasika