Challenger Wuning 3Challenger 50Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Zhu vs Kachmazov 0:2: result and our tips

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Evan ZhuATP #479Elo 1631hard 1630
0:2final6:7(6) 6:7(5)
Alibek KachmazovATP #525Elo 1617hard 1623

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Evan Zhu37%
Alibek Kachmazov63%

Elo: E. Zhu 51% · A. Kachmazov 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Zhu22%
2:1 E. Zhu16%
2:1 A. Kachmazov22%
2:0 A. Kachmazov41%

First set

Evan Zhu41%
Alibek Kachmazov59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.548%53%42%
23.542%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,577 matches

Games handicap

Alibek Kachmazov −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0in · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Evan ZhuAlibek Kachmazov
4Aces6
5Double faults1
64%First serves in55%
74%First-serve points won76%
44%Second-serve points won60%
1/6Break points converted1/5
11/12Service games held11/12
63%Service points won69%
32%Return points won37%
92Total points won98

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. ZhuTourA. Kachmazov
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won39%38%38%
Service games held78%76%78%
Breaks of serve27%24%25%
Aces per service game0.300.54
Double faults per game0.250.20
Sets with a tie-break14%30%
Tie-breaks won8/154/7
Wins in straight sets62%75%
Matches in the sample449

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Evan Zhu

  • 06/10/26WKoki Matsuda#481Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 6:3
  • 01/10/26LAlex Bolt#170Challenger Jingshan · R167:6 4:6 2:6
  • 30/09/26WHanyi Liu#831Challenger Jingshan · R326:3 6:4
  • 29/09/26WAleksandar Vukic#115Challenger Jingshan · Q26:3 4:2
  • 28/09/26WZhiheng XiaChallenger Jingshan · Q16:1 6:0
  • 22/09/26LHenry Searle#228Challenger San Diego 2 · R323:6 7:6 3:6
  • 21/09/26WAlafia Ayeni#448Challenger San Diego 2 · Q26:2 6:4
  • 20/09/26WAleksi LofmanChallenger San Diego 2 · Q16:1 7:5
  • 15/09/26LMichael Zheng#94Challenger Tiburon · R321:6 6:4 5:7
  • 14/09/26WOzan Baris#408Challenger Tiburon · Q26:4 4:6 6:4

Alibek Kachmazov

  • 06/10/26WCharles Broom#268Challenger Wuning 3 · R324:6 7:6 6:4
  • 05/10/26WGrigoriy Lomakin#865Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:1 6:1
  • 04/10/26WYan Lang ChenChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:2
  • 07/09/26LGabriel Ghetu#570Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q26:7 6:2 4:6
  • 06/09/26WLouis Wessels#435Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q16:3 7:6
  • 09/08/26LColin Sinclair#485Challenger Astana · Q16:7 7:6 2:6
  • 08/02/26LAlejo Sanchez Quilez#375Challenger Tenerife 2 · Q16:0 4:6 2:6
  • 02/02/26LGabriele Piraino#392Challenger Tenerife · R326:7 7:6 2:6
  • 26/01/26LYanki Erel#300Challenger Manama · Q14:6 3:6
  • 19/08/25LTitouan Droguet#72ATP US Open · Q11:6 2:4

Elo over the last year

Evan ZhuAlibek Kachmazov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. ZhuA. Kachmazov
Hard court26–1760%4–544%
Clay0–10%0–0

Head to head

E. Zhu 1–0 A. Kachmazov

  • 09/05/22Winner: Evan Zhu7:6 6:1

Road through the tournament

Evan Zhu

Alibek Kachmazov

  • 04/10/26WYan Lang ChenChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:2
  • 05/10/26WGrigoriy Lomakin#865Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:1 6:1
  • 06/10/26WCharles Broom#268Challenger Wuning 3 · R324:6 7:6 6:4