WTA TokyoWTA 500Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Oliynykova vs Hontama 0:2: result and our tips

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Oleksandra OliynykovaWTA #62Elo 1752hard 1670
0:2final3:6 1:6
Mai HontamaWTA #168Elo 1582hard 1570

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 23.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Oliynykova: 12 matches in a row under 23.5 games; Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Oliynykova 16 of 20, Hontama 15 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Oliynykova: 12 matches in a row without a deciding set; No third set in recent matches: Oliynykova 17 of 20, Hontama 14 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Won46%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Oliynykova: 7 matches in a row under 20.5 games; Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Oliynykova 14 of 20, Hontama 11 of 20 (tour average 51%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Oleksandra Oliynykova51%
Mai Hontama49%

Elo: O. Oliynykova 64% · M. Hontama 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Oliynykova31%
2:1 O. Oliynykova19%
2:1 M. Hontama19%
2:0 M. Hontama31%

First set

Oleksandra Oliynykova50%
Mai Hontama50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,284 matches

Games handicap

Oleksandra Oliynykova −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Oleksandra OliynykovaMai Hontama
3Aces0
2Double faults1
87%First serves in68%
53%First-serve points won72%
0%Second-serve points won59%
1/5Break points converted5/10
3/8Service games held7/8
46%Service points won68%
32%Return points won54%
42Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. OliynykovaTourM. Hontama
Service points won54%56%54%
Return points won48%44%46%
Service games held57%63%57%
Breaks of serve46%37%43%
Aces per service game0.090.08
Double faults per game0.280.33
Sets with a tie-break13%8%
Tie-breaks won11/194/7
Wins in straight sets65%72%
Matches in the sample6637

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Oleksandra Oliynykova

Mai Hontama

Elo over the last year

Oleksandra OliynykovaMai Hontama

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. OliynykovaM. Hontama
Hard court8–1044%14–1548%
Clay32–1470%3–350%
Grass0–20%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also