WTA OsakaWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Oliynykova vs Stoiana 0:2: result and our tips

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Oleksandra OliynykovaWTA #62Elo 1772hard 1694
0:2final2:6 3:6
Mary StoianaWTA #114Elo 1778hard 1742

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Oliynykova: 11 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won64%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Oliynykova: 11 matches in a row under 23.5 games

  • Match Winner: StoianaWon69%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 69%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Stoiana won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Won33%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Oliynykova: 3 matches in a row under 18.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Oleksandra Oliynykova31%
Mary Stoiana69%

Elo: O. Oliynykova 43% · M. Stoiana 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Oliynykova18%
2:1 O. Oliynykova14%
2:1 M. Stoiana21%
2:0 M. Stoiana47%

First set

Oleksandra Oliynykova35%
Mary Stoiana65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%72%
18.567%33%64%
19.559%41%56%
20.552%48%49%
21.546%54%44%
22.540%60%38%
23.536%64%34%

Sample: 1,989 matches

Games handicap

Mary Stoiana −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Oleksandra OliynykovaMary Stoiana
2Aces0
6Double faults2
79%First serves in78%
41%First-serve points won44%
24%Second-serve points won40%
5/5Break points converted9/20
0/9Service games held3/8
38%Service points won44%
56%Return points won63%
56Total points won70

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. OliynykovaTourM. Stoiana
Service points won54%56%57%
Return points won48%44%44%
Service games held58%63%66%
Breaks of serve46%37%36%
Aces per service game0.090.14
Double faults per game0.270.27
Sets with a tie-break13%14%
Tie-breaks won12/2012/17
Wins in straight sets67%53%
Matches in the sample6750

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Oleksandra Oliynykova

Mary Stoiana

Elo over the last year

Oleksandra OliynykovaMary Stoiana

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. OliynykovaM. Stoiana
Hard court8–947%18–1358%
Clay34–1471%4–357%
Grass0–20%8–467%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Oleksandra Oliynykova

First match in this tournament.

Mary Stoiana

See also