Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Onclin vs Balshaw 1:2: result and our tips

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Gauthier OnclinATP #168Elo 1690hard 1680
1:2final4:6 7:6(3) 4:6
Felix BalshawATP #198Elo 1770hard 1753

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Onclin 14 of 20, Balshaw 16 of 20 (tour average 54%); Balshaw: 4 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: BalshawWon56%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Balshaw: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Won41%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Onclin 11 of 20, Balshaw 11 of 20 (tour average 37%); Balshaw: 4 matches in a row over 23.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Gauthier Onclin41%
Felix Balshaw59%

Elo: G. Onclin 40% · F. Balshaw 60%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Onclin25%
2:1 G. Onclin17%
2:1 F. Balshaw21%
2:0 F. Balshaw38%

First set

Gauthier Onclin44%
Felix Balshaw56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.560%41%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.540%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,800 matches

Games handicap

Felix Balshaw −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 22.0in · 33 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Gauthier OnclinFelix Balshaw
2Aces13
6Double faults4
47%First serves in57%
71%First-serve points won83%
58%Second-serve points won55%
1/3Break points converted3/12
13/16Service games held15/16
64%Service points won71%
29%Return points won36%
94Total points won103

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. OnclinTourF. Balshaw
Service points won61%62%65%
Return points won39%38%39%
Service games held75%76%81%
Breaks of serve26%24%26%
Aces per service game0.190.66
Double faults per game0.300.29
Sets with a tie-break18%21%
Tie-breaks won10/2015/23
Wins in straight sets68%55%
Matches in the sample4844

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Gauthier Onclin

Felix Balshaw

Elo over the last year

Gauthier OnclinFelix Balshaw

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. OnclinF. Balshaw
Hard court17–1553%16–964%
Clay4–544%13–668%
Grass4–357%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also