Paul vs Vacherot 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 63%
Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Paul 13 of 20, Vacherot 15 of 20 (tour average 54%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 39% → with the players' profiles 42%
Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Paul 9 of 20, Vacherot 10 of 20 (tour average 34%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: T. Paul 60% · V. Vacherot 40%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 71% | 30% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 63% | 37% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 57% | 43% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 49% | 51% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 44% | 56% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 42% | 58% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 38% | 62% | 30% |
Sample: 5,803 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 23.0out · 18 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Tommy Paul | Valentin Vacherot | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 9 |
| 0 | Double faults | 1 |
| 63% | First serves in | 61% |
| 74% | First-serve points won | 54% |
| 48% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 4/6 | Break points converted | 1/7 |
| 8/9 | Service games held | 5/9 |
| 65% | Service points won | 53% |
| 47% | Return points won | 36% |
| 67 | Total points won | 52 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Paul | Tour | V. Vacherot | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 67% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 34% |
| Service games held | 84% | 76% | 84% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.51 | 0.73 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.15 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/27 | 12/22 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 52% | |
| Matches in the sample | 57 | 41 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Tommy Paul
- 10/10/26WAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#52ATP Shanghai · R646:2 6:2
- 30/09/26LAlejandro Tabilo#30ATP Tokyo · R321:6 2:6
- 06/09/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP US Open · R164:6 3:6 4:6
- 04/09/26WAlexander Bublik#22ATP US Open · R326:4 3:6 6:7 6:1 6:3
- 02/09/26WDino Prizmic#97ATP US Open · R646:2 6:3 5:7 6:4
- 30/08/26WColeman Wong#101ATP US Open · R1286:7 6:1 6:3 6:3
- 20/08/26LFlavio Cobolli#7ATP Cincinnati · QF6:2 3:6 4:6
- 19/08/26WAlexander Zverev#2ATP Cincinnati · R164:6 7:6 6:4
- 18/08/26WAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#52ATP Cincinnati · R323:6 6:3 6:4
- 15/08/26WHubert Hurkacz#34ATP Cincinnati · R646:4 6:7 6:3
Valentin Vacherot
- 10/10/26WSebastián Báez#53ATP Shanghai · R646:4 7:6
- 05/10/26LJiří Lehečka#16ATP Tokyo · SF4:6 2:6
- 04/10/26WArthur Fils#11ATP Tokyo · QF7:5 4:6 6:4
- 02/10/26WStefanos Tsitsipas#43ATP Tokyo · R164:6 7:6 6:4
- 30/09/26WAlexander Blockx#28ATP Tokyo · R327:6 7:6
- 26/09/26LLloyd Harris#110ATP Chengdu · R164:6 6:7
- 04/09/26LFrances Tiafoe#10ATP US Open · R324:6 2:6 4:6
- 02/09/26WKamil Majchrzak#70ATP US Open · R646:4 4:6 7:6 6:2
- 31/08/26WAleksandar Kovacevic#81ATP US Open · R1286:2 6:3 7:5
- 15/08/26LAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#52ATP Cincinnati · R643:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Paul | V. Vacherot | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 22–1265% | 17–1455% |
| Clay | 11–473% | 6–460% |
| Grass | 6–275% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Tommy Paul
- 10/10/26WAdolfo Daniel Vallejo#52ATP Shanghai · R646:2 6:2
Valentin Vacherot
- 10/10/26WSebastián Báez#53ATP Shanghai · R646:4 7:6