Challenger CaliChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Pereira vs Pucinelli de Almeida 0:2: result and our tips

·

Jose PereiraATP #742Elo 1504clay 1516
0:2final4:6 5:7
Matheus Pucinelli de AlmeidaATP #240Elo 1750clay 1762

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 15.5Won71%

Where the number comes from: market alone 78% → with the players' profiles 71%

Over 15.5 games in recent matches: Pereira 20 of 20, Pucinelli de Almeida 20 of 20 (tour average 91%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jose Pereira9%
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida91%

Elo: J. Pereira 20% · M. Pucinelli de Almeida 81%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Pereira4%
2:1 J. Pereira5%
2:1 M. Pucinelli de Almeida16%
2:0 M. Pucinelli de Almeida74%

First set

Jose Pereira15%
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida85%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes22%
no78%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.0 · 57%market (no margin): 50%

The 19.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.582%18%96%
15.571%29%91%
16.561%39%84%
17.551%49%76%
18.543%57%68%
19.536%64%59%
20.531%69%52%

Sample: 1,391 matches

Games handicap

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida −6.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes13%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 19.0out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jose PereiraMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida
0Aces4
3Double faults5
68%First serves in61%
56%First-serve points won82%
58%Second-serve points won46%
1/2Break points converted3/9
8/11Service games held10/11
57%Service points won68%
32%Return points won43%
66Total points won77

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. PereiraTourM. Pucinelli de Almeida
Service points won61%62%61%
Return points won41%38%44%
Service games held76%76%75%
Breaks of serve28%24%35%
Aces per service game0.270.18
Double faults per game0.140.25
Sets with a tie-break8%11%
Tie-breaks won1/45/14
Wins in straight sets80%61%
Matches in the sample2152

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jose Pereira

  • 19/10/26WMateus Alves#399Challenger Cali · Q26:3 6:1
  • 18/10/26WTristan McCormick#656Challenger Cali · Q16:1 6:4
  • 06/10/26LLautaro Midon#189Challenger Antofagasta · R323:6 6:4 0:6
  • 05/10/26WMateus Alves#399Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:3 6:3
  • 04/10/26WArklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova#669Challenger Antofagasta · Q17:6 6:3
  • 29/09/26LMateus Alves#399Challenger Curitiba · R322:6 6:1 4:6
  • 28/09/26WRyan Dickerson#697Challenger Curitiba · Q26:7 7:5 6:1
  • 27/09/26WRafael Tosetto#861Challenger Curitiba · Q16:4 3:6 6:3
  • 05/05/26LLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#519Challenger Santos · R326:7 2:6
  • 07/04/26LLautaro Midon#189Challenger Campinas · R324:6 6:3 4:6

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Elo over the last year

Jose PereiraMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. PereiraM. Pucinelli de Almeida
Hard court0–03–443%
Clay10–1148%30–1567%

Head to head

J. Pereira 0–1 M. Pucinelli de Almeida

  • 26/09/23Winner: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida4:6 4:6

Road through the tournament

Jose Pereira

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

First match in this tournament.