Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Pieri vs Rincon 0:2: result and our tips

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Samuele PieriATP #320Elo 1656hard 1578
0:2final0:6 2:6
Daniel RinconATP #245Elo 1725hard 1707

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 23.5Won71%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Rincon: 6 matches in a row under 23.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won72%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Rincon: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Samuele Pieri16%
Daniel Rincon84%

Elo: S. Pieri 32% · D. Rincon 68%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Pieri9%
2:1 S. Pieri8%
2:1 D. Rincon20%
2:0 D. Rincon63%

First set

Samuele Pieri23%
Daniel Rincon77%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.581%19%88%
17.571%29%79%
18.562%38%71%
19.553%47%62%
20.545%55%54%
21.539%61%49%
22.533%67%42%

Sample: 2,335 matches

Games handicap

Daniel Rincon −4.556%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.0in · 14 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Samuele PieriDaniel Rincon
0Aces5
3Double faults1
67%First serves in73%
43%First-serve points won88%
35%Second-serve points won33%
0/2Break points converted5/11
2/7Service games held7/7
40%Service points won73%
27%Return points won60%
33Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. PieriTourD. Rincon
Service points won61%62%60%
Return points won39%38%39%
Service games held75%76%74%
Breaks of serve25%24%25%
Aces per service game0.230.38
Double faults per game0.170.19
Sets with a tie-break11%20%
Tie-breaks won6/1113/22
Wins in straight sets59%48%
Matches in the sample4348

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Samuele Pieri

Daniel Rincon

Elo over the last year

Samuele PieriDaniel Rincon

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. PieriD. Rincon
Hard court0–011–1248%
Clay22–2151%14–1156%

Head to head

They have not met yet.