Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Semifinalclaybest of three sets

Piros vs Sanchez Quilez 2:0: result and our tips

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Zsombor PirosATP #103Elo 1883clay 1882
2:0final6:4 6:4
Alejo Sanchez QuilezATP #323Elo 1715clay 1718

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: PirosWon65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Piros: 5 matches in a row winning the first set; Piros won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Sanchez Quilez lost the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Piros 15 of 20, Sanchez Quilez 16 of 20 (tour average 64%)

  • Match Winner: PirosWon71%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 71%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Piros won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Set Betting: Piros 2-0Won48%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Piros won 2-0 in 12 of the last 20 matches, Sanchez Quilez lost 0-2 in 8 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Zsombor Piros71%
Alejo Sanchez Quilez29%

Elo: Z. Piros 72% · A. Sanchez Quilez 28%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Z. Piros48%
2:1 Z. Piros23%
2:1 A. Sanchez Quilez14%
2:0 A. Sanchez Quilez16%

First set

Zsombor Piros65%
Alejo Sanchez Quilez35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%76%
18.567%33%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.547%53%47%
22.541%59%40%
23.537%63%36%

Sample: 3,773 matches

Games handicap

Zsombor Piros −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Zsombor PirosAlejo Sanchez Quilez
4Aces2
2Double faults1
51%First serves in61%
84%First-serve points won70%
60%Second-serve points won47%
2/11Break points converted0/1
10/10Service games held8/10
72%Service points won61%
40%Return points won28%
74Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Z. PirosTourA. Sanchez Quilez
Service points won63%62%59%
Return points won40%38%42%
Service games held80%76%70%
Breaks of serve29%24%32%
Aces per service game0.350.18
Double faults per game0.200.15
Sets with a tie-break12%9%
Tie-breaks won12/184/11
Wins in straight sets62%69%
Matches in the sample6452

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Zsombor Piros

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Elo over the last year

Zsombor PirosAlejo Sanchez Quilez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Z. PirosA. Sanchez Quilez
Hard court12–475%9–853%
Clay32–1470%20–1557%
Grass1–150%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Zsombor Piros

Alejo Sanchez Quilez