Poullain vs Paris 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 73%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Paris lost 8 of the last 10 matches
Other tips
- Total Games: Over 20.5Won55%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 20.5 games in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: L. Poullain 74% · T. Paris 27%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 29% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 37% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 64% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 66% | 35% |
Sample: 3,956 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 0:2
- Total games Under 21.5out · 22 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Lucas Poullain | Tom Paris | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 6 |
| 1 | Double faults | 1 |
| 82% | First serves in | 58% |
| 66% | First-serve points won | 77% |
| 46% | Second-serve points won | 68% |
| 0/1 | Break points converted | 2/5 |
| 9/11 | Service games held | 10/10 |
| 63% | Service points won | 73% |
| 27% | Return points won | 38% |
| 63 | Total points won | 76 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Poullain | Tour | T. Paris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.21 | 0.52 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.11 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/9 | 3/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 38 | 19 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Lucas Poullain
- 11/10/26WGijs Brouwer#847Challenger Roanne · Q16:1 6:2
- 02/10/26LJoel Schwaerzler#176Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · QF4:6 1:6
- 30/09/26WRemy Bertola#227Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R163:6 7:5 6:3
- 29/09/26WMark Lajal#149Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R327:6 5:7 6:3
- 16/09/26LClement Chidekh#146Challenger Rennes · R163:6 4:6
- 14/09/26WDavid Jorda Sanchis#193Challenger Rennes · R327:5 6:4
- 07/09/26LMoez Echargui#356Challenger Cassis · R324:6 2:6
- 22/08/26LOliver Tarvet#307Challenger Roehampton · F3:6 2:6
- 21/08/26WLui Maxted#394Challenger Roehampton · SF6:3 6:2
- 20/08/26WMichael Geerts#345Challenger Roehampton · QF6:7 6:3 7:5
Tom Paris
- 11/10/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#509Challenger Roanne · Q13:6 6:2 6:4
- 27/09/26LNiels Visker#415Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q14:6 2:6
- 25/05/26LLukas Pokorny#565Challenger Kosice · R326:0 1:6 3:6
- 28/04/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#189Challenger Aix en Provence · Q24:6 4:6
- 27/04/26WLaurent Lokoli#348Challenger Aix en Provence · Q13:6 6:4 4:2
- 20/04/26LTung-Lin Wu#364Challenger Gwangju · Q24:6 0:6
- 19/04/26WYun Seong Chung#756Challenger Gwangju · Q17:5 0:6 6:4
- 06/04/26LIlia Simakin#154Challenger Wuning · R327:6 3:6 4:6
- 10/03/26LLucas Poullain#322Challenger Cherbourg-en-Cotentin · R324:6 6:7
- 03/03/26LOtto Virtanen#107Challenger Thionville · R324:6 6:1 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Poullain | T. Paris | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 22–1069% | 7–944% |
| Clay | 3–350% | 1–233% |
Head to head
L. Poullain 2–1 T. Paris
- 10/03/26Winner: Lucas Poullain6:4 7:6
- 06/02/25Winner: Tom Paris6:7 3:6
- 24/09/23Winner: Lucas Poullain3:6 6:3 6:4
Road through the tournament
Lucas Poullain
- 11/10/26WGijs Brouwer#847Challenger Roanne · Q16:1 6:2
Tom Paris
- 11/10/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#509Challenger Roanne · Q13:6 6:2 6:4