ATP Brussels250Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Prizmic vs Dzumhur 1:2: result and our tips

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Dino PrizmicATP #95Elo 1974hard 1893
1:2final6:7(5) 6:2 2:6
Damir DzumhurATP #83Elo 1838hard 1796

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoLost60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No tie-break in recent matches: Prizmic 15 of 20, Dzumhur 15 of 20 (tour average 61%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Lost40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Prizmic 11 of 20, Dzumhur 10 of 20 (tour average 40%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dino Prizmic70%
Damir Dzumhur30%

Elo: D. Prizmic 64% · D. Dzumhur 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Prizmic46%
2:1 D. Prizmic23%
2:1 D. Dzumhur13%
2:0 D. Dzumhur18%

First set

Dino Prizmic65%
Damir Dzumhur35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 55%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%68%
20.561%40%60%
21.555%45%54%
22.546%54%46%
23.540%60%39%
24.538%62%38%
25.535%66%35%

Sample: 4,765 matches

Games handicap

Dino Prizmic −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Dino PrizmicDamir Dzumhur
5Aces2
4Double faults0
64%First serves in67%
71%First-serve points won67%
41%Second-serve points won50%
3/8Break points converted3/11
11/14Service games held11/14
60%Service points won62%
39%Return points won40%
102Total points won102

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. PrizmicTourD. Dzumhur
Service points won66%62%59%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held83%76%69%
Breaks of serve24%24%28%
Aces per service game0.360.13
Double faults per game0.260.17
Sets with a tie-break13%15%
Tie-breaks won9/1812/22
Wins in straight sets72%59%
Matches in the sample5159

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dino Prizmic

Damir Dzumhur

Elo over the last year

Dino PrizmicDamir Dzumhur

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. PrizmicD. Dzumhur
Hard court10–953%12–1446%
Clay21–872%13–1645%
Grass1–233%2–250%

Head to head

D. Prizmic 0–2 D. Dzumhur

  • 05/09/24Winner: Damir Dzumhur2:6 2:6
  • 08/09/23Winner: Damir Dzumhur3:6 7:6 5:7