Pucinelli de Almeida vs Jarry: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Pucinelli de Almeida 14 of 20, Jarry 7 of 12 (tour average 52%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Jarry: 3 matches in a row over 21.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Pucinelli de Almeida 46% · N. Jarry 54%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 73% | 28% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 64% | 36% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 56% | 44% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 51% | 50% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
Sample: 4,704 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Pucinelli de Almeida | Tour | N. Jarry | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 35% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.19 | 0.60 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.16 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 29% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/14 | 3/9 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 40% | |
| Matches in the sample | 52 | 13 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
- 20/10/26WJose Pereira#742Challenger Cali · R326:4 7:5
- 09/10/26LJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva#188Challenger Antofagasta · QF4:6 6:7
- 07/10/26WGenaro Alberto Olivieri#255Challenger Antofagasta · R166:3 6:3
- 06/10/26WAlex Barrena#212Challenger Antofagasta · R327:5 6:3
- 02/10/26LTomas Barrios Vera#155Challenger Curitiba · QF1:6 6:3 3:6
- 30/09/26WJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva#188Challenger Curitiba · R166:3 4:6 6:3
- 29/09/26WPaulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos#426Challenger Curitiba · R323:6 6:3 6:0
- 22/09/26LHugo Dellien#118Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R327:5 4:6 4:6
- 02/09/26LJay Friend#272Challenger Manacor · R326:7 3:6
- 01/09/26WMarek Gengel#419Challenger Manacor · Q26:3 6:4
Nicolas Jarry
- 19/10/26WTomas Barrios Vera#155Challenger Cali · R326:4 6:7 6:2
- 14/04/26WElmer Moller#163Challenger Oeiras 3 · R326:2 3:6 6:0
- 11/04/26LJurij Rodionov#137Challenger Madrid · SF7:6 6:7 6:7
- 10/04/26WNerman Fatic#584Challenger Madrid · QF6:1 6:4
- 09/04/26WDominic Stricker#251Challenger Madrid · R166:2 7:6
- 07/04/26WMiguel Damas#342Challenger Madrid · R326:1
- 17/03/26LMattia Bellucci#68ATP Miami · Q13:6 1:6
- 10/03/26LAdam Walton#97Challenger Cap Cana · R326:7 1:6
- 02/03/26LFrancesco Maestrelli#171ATP Indian Wells · Q14:6 6:4 6:7
- 23/02/26LDino Prizmic#95ATP Santiago · R323:6 7:5 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Pucinelli de Almeida | N. Jarry | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 3–443% | 0–50% |
| Clay | 30–1567% | 5–363% |
Head to head
M. Pucinelli de Almeida 1–1 N. Jarry
- 06/04/22Winner: Nicolas Jarry6:7 2:6
- 16/07/21Winner: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida3:6 6:3 6:1
Road through the tournament
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
- 20/10/26WJose Pereira#742Challenger Cali · R326:4 7:5
Nicolas Jarry
- 19/10/26WTomas Barrios Vera#155Challenger Cali · R326:4 6:7 6:2