Purcell vs Zhu 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 79%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Purcell won 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: market alone 49% → with the players' profiles 47%
Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Purcell 8 of 12, Zhu 11 of 20 (tour average 46%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Purcell 71% · E. Zhu 29%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 80% | 20% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 71% | 29% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 62% | 38% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 46% | 54% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 40% | 60% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 34% | 66% | 37% |
Sample: 3,072 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 22.5in · 20 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Max Purcell | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 2 |
| 0 | Double faults | 2 |
| 76% | First serves in | 64% |
| 89% | First-serve points won | 68% |
| 58% | Second-serve points won | 62% |
| 2/5 | Break points converted | 0/0 |
| 10/10 | Service games held | 8/10 |
| 82% | Service points won | 66% |
| 34% | Return points won | 18% |
| 60 | Total points won | 48 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Purcell | Tour | E. Zhu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.68 | 0.31 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 7% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 0/2 | 8/17 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 58% | |
| Matches in the sample | 12 | 44 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Max Purcell
- 18/10/26WYuta Shimizu#376Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:3 6:1
- 06/10/26LFilip Peliwo#641Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:7 1:6
- 04/10/26WJulien de CuyperChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:4 6:4
- 12/09/26LIlia Simakin#143Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · SF3:6 6:2 2:6
- 11/09/26WCruz Hewitt#324Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · QF7:5 6:3
- 09/09/26WBlake Ellis#445Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R166:4 6:4
- 08/09/26WRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#263Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:3 6:4
- 27/08/26LAndres Andrade#224Challenger Kingston 2 · QF3:6 3:6
- 26/08/26WGarrett Johns#458Challenger Kingston 2 · R166:2 6:2
- 24/08/26WIgor Marcondes#266Challenger Kingston 2 · R326:4 6:2
Evan Zhu
- 18/10/26WYaojie Zeng#967Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:1 1:6 6:3
- 08/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#361Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:7 6:7
- 06/10/26WKoki Matsuda#475Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 6:3
- 01/10/26LAlex Bolt#174Challenger Jingshan · R167:6 4:6 2:6
- 30/09/26WHanyi Liu#822Challenger Jingshan · R326:3 6:4
- 29/09/26WAleksandar Vukic#116Challenger Jingshan · Q26:3 4:2
- 28/09/26WZhiheng XiaChallenger Jingshan · Q16:1 6:0
- 22/09/26LHenry Searle#220Challenger San Diego 2 · R323:6 7:6 3:6
- 21/09/26WAlafia Ayeni#434Challenger San Diego 2 · Q26:2 6:4
- 20/09/26WAleksi LofmanChallenger San Diego 2 · Q16:1 7:5
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Purcell | E. Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 8–467% | 26–1760% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Max Purcell
- 18/10/26WYuta Shimizu#376Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:3 6:1
Evan Zhu
- 18/10/26WYaojie Zeng#967Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:1 1:6 6:3