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WTA TokyoWTA 500Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Putintseva vs Sakkari 2:1: result and our tips

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Yulia PutintsevaWTA #67Elo 1833hard 1823
2:1final6:4 3:6 6:1
Maria SakkariWTA #30Elo 1895hard 1886

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in 4 of their 4 head-to-head matches

Other tips

  • Match Winner: SakkariLost61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Sakkari won 3 of 4 head-to-head matches

  • 1st Set Winner: SakkariLost57%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Putintseva lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Sakkari won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Won43%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 22.5 games in 3 of their 4 head-to-head matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yulia Putintseva39%
Maria Sakkari61%

Elo: Y. Putintseva 41% · M. Sakkari 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Putintseva24%
2:1 Y. Putintseva17%
2:1 M. Sakkari22%
2:0 M. Sakkari38%

First set

Yulia Putintseva43%
Maria Sakkari57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.537%64%32%

Sample: 2,436 matches

Games handicap

M. Sakkari −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Yulia PutintsevaMaria Sakkari
2Aces0
0Double faults5
74%First serves in66%
59%First-serve points won52%
52%Second-serve points won41%
7/16Break points converted5/10
8/13Service games held6/13
57%Service points won48%
52%Return points won43%
96Total points won80

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. PutintsevaTourM. Sakkari
Service points won57%56%59%
Return points won46%44%43%
Service games held64%63%70%
Breaks of serve41%37%34%
Aces per service game0.130.28
Double faults per game0.190.25
Sets with a tie-break10%10%
Tie-breaks won7/134/10
Wins in straight sets73%71%
Matches in the sample5744

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yulia Putintseva

Maria Sakkari

Elo over the last year

Yulia PutintsevaMaria Sakkari

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. PutintsevaM. Sakkari
Hard court21–1460%19–1261%
Clay12–860%3–538%
Grass0–20%2–340%

Head to head

Y. Putintseva 1–3 M. Sakkari

  • 22/06/25Winner: M. Sakkari5:7 6:7
  • 24/08/20Winner: M. Sakkari4:6 6:7
  • 24/09/17Winner: M. Sakkari6:1 4:6 2:6
  • 14/09/16Winner: Y. Putintseva6:4 6:3

Road through the tournament

Yulia Putintseva

Maria Sakkari

First match in this tournament.

See also