Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Rodenas vs Gulin 0:2: result and our tips

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Pedro RodenasATP #633Elo 1506clay 1525
0:2final2:6 5:7
Svyatoslav GulinATP #572Elo 1705clay 1715

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Gulin: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Won42%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Gulin: 4 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Pedro Rodenas41%
Svyatoslav Gulin59%

Elo: P. Rodenas 25% · S. Gulin 75%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Rodenas23%
2:1 P. Rodenas17%
2:1 S. Gulin22%
2:0 S. Gulin39%

First set

Pedro Rodenas42%
Svyatoslav Gulin58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%68%
19.565%35%59%
20.558%42%52%
21.552%48%47%
22.545%55%40%
23.541%59%36%
24.539%61%34%

Sample: 4,859 matches

Games handicap

Svyatoslav Gulin −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Pedro RodenasSvyatoslav Gulin
2Aces6
4Double faults0
74%First serves in61%
60%First-serve points won74%
28%Second-serve points won41%
2/6Break points converted5/13
5/10Service games held8/10
51%Service points won61%
39%Return points won49%
65Total points won80

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. RodenasTourS. Gulin
Service points won60%62%62%
Return points won39%38%41%
Service games held73%76%75%
Breaks of serve28%24%30%
Aces per service game0.290.33
Double faults per game0.420.21
Sets with a tie-break33%13%
Tie-breaks won2/37/14
Wins in straight sets100%77%
Matches in the sample446

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Pedro Rodenas

  • 11/10/26WSebastiano CocolaChallenger Catania · Q17:6 7:6
  • 04/10/26LOlle Wallin#423Challenger Braga · Q16:1 2:6 5:7
  • 17/11/25LStefan Palosi#508Challenger Montemar · Q26:7 5:7
  • 16/11/25WRaul Brancaccio#231Challenger Montemar · Q16:4 6:2
  • 01/01/24LAlastair Gray#292Challenger Oeiras · Q25:7 1:6
  • 31/12/23WTibo Colson#526Challenger Oeiras · Q16:2 6:2
  • 30/10/23LStefan Kozlov#290Challenger Charlottesville · Q23:6 1:6
  • 29/10/23WAlfredo Perez#951Challenger Charlottesville · Q16:0 6:7 6:4
  • 31/10/22LEdan LeshemChallenger Charlottesville · Q16:7 1:6
  • 11/09/22LRyan HarrisonChallenger Cary · Q13:6 4:6

Svyatoslav Gulin

  • 11/10/26WTilen KovacChallenger Catania · Q16:1 6:1
  • 28/09/26LFederico Arnaboldi#478Challenger Bari · Q24:6 2:4
  • 27/09/26WLuis Carlos Alvarez Valdes#933Challenger Bari · Q17:5 6:1
  • 21/09/26LPavel Lagutin#410Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q26:7 0:3
  • 20/09/26WRyo Tabata#953Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q17:6 6:1
  • 08/09/26LLukas Neumayer#180Challenger Tulln · R324:6 2:6
  • 07/09/26WAndrej Martin#387Challenger Tulln · Q27:6 6:4
  • 06/09/26WRudolf Molleker#535Challenger Tulln · Q17:5 7:6
  • 31/08/26LNorbert Gombos#355Challenger Como · Q26:7 3:6
  • 30/08/26WRudolf Molleker#535Challenger Como · Q16:3 1:6 6:3

Elo over the last year

Pedro RodenasSvyatoslav Gulin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. RodenasS. Gulin
Hard court0–05–550%
Clay2–250%21–1558%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Pedro Rodenas

Svyatoslav Gulin