Challenger Santa Cruz 2Challenger 75Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Rodriguez vs Cigarran 0:2: result and our tips

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Lorenzo Joaquin RodriguezATP #533Elo 1533clay 1541
0:2final4:6 4:6
Thiago CigarranATP #622Elo 1486clay 1492

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez70%
Thiago Cigarran30%

Elo: L. Rodriguez 57% · T. Cigarran 43%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Rodriguez47%
2:1 L. Rodriguez23%
2:1 T. Cigarran14%
2:0 T. Cigarran17%

First set

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez65%
Thiago Cigarran35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%76%
18.566%34%68%
19.558%42%59%
20.552%48%52%
21.545%55%47%
22.540%60%40%
23.537%63%36%

Sample: 3,915 matches

Games handicap

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Lorenzo Joaquin RodriguezThiago Cigarran
4Aces0
5Double faults3
72%First serves in53%
59%First-serve points won59%
33%Second-serve points won57%
3/6Break points converted5/13
5/10Service games held7/10
51%Service points won58%
42%Return points won49%
65Total points won73

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. RodriguezTourT. Cigarran
Service points won60%62%58%
Return points won40%38%41%
Service games held73%76%69%
Breaks of serve28%24%30%
Aces per service game0.200.21
Double faults per game0.230.28
Sets with a tie-break15%10%
Tie-breaks won4/113/9
Wins in straight sets80%55%
Matches in the sample3340

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

  • 11/10/26WAgustin Eduardo Cuellar LorbergChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:4 6:1
  • 05/10/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#342Challenger Antofagasta · Q23:6 6:0 3:6
  • 04/10/26WFranco Ribero#711Challenger Antofagasta · Q16:3 6:2
  • 29/09/26LTomas Barrios Vera#132Challenger Curitiba · R321:6 1:6
  • 28/09/26WWilson Leite#689Challenger Curitiba · Q26:1 7:6
  • 27/09/26WBruno MilaniChallenger Curitiba · Q16:0 6:2
  • 22/09/26LJuan Carlos Prado Angelo#162Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:7 6:7
  • 21/09/26WBastian Malla#813Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q26:2 1:0
  • 20/09/26WTadeo MeneoChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q16:4 6:2
  • 07/07/26LLucas Andrade Da Silva#771Challenger Bogota · R324:6 6:7

Thiago Cigarran

  • 11/10/26WBoris AriasChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:2 3:6 6:4
  • 06/10/26LMiguel Tobon#506Challenger Antofagasta · R326:4 4:6 1:6
  • 05/10/26WNicolas Kicker#351Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:3 3:0
  • 04/10/26WAnders MattaChallenger Antofagasta · Q16:2 6:2
  • 21/09/26LTomas Martinez#790Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q21:6 0:4
  • 20/09/26WSantiago PesinoChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q16:4 7:5
  • 06/09/26LTiago Pereira#339Challenger Seville · Q13:6 6:2 6:7
  • 18/08/26LLorenzo Giustino#216Challenger Sion · R324:6 3:6
  • 17/08/26WLuca Wiedenmann#537Challenger Sion · Q22:6 6:4 6:3
  • 16/08/26WMichael Zhu#957Challenger Sion · Q14:6 7:5 6:2

Elo over the last year

Lorenzo Joaquin RodriguezThiago Cigarran

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. RodriguezT. Cigarran
Clay15–1845%20–2050%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

Thiago Cigarran