WTA 125 LisbonRound of 16claybest of three sets
Romero Gormaz vs Serban: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 6hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Leyre Romero Gormaz77%
Raluca Georgiana Serban23%
Elo: L. Romero Gormaz 71% · R. Serban 30%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Romero Gormaz58%
2:1 L. Romero Gormaz21%
2:1 R. Serban11%
2:0 R. Serban10%
First set
Leyre Romero Gormaz72%
Raluca Georgiana Serban28%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 51%market (no margin): 51%
The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 78% | 22% | 77% |
| 17.5 | 68% | 32% | 68% |
| 18.5 | 58% | 42% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 49% | 51% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 43% | 57% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 40% | 60% | 42% |
| 22.5 | 36% | 64% | 37% |
Sample: 1,068 matches
Games handicap
Leyre Romero Gormaz −5.547%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes18%
tour average 20%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Romero Gormaz | Tour | R. Serban | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 54% | 56% | 55% |
| Return points won | 47% | 44% | 45% |
| Service games held | 61% | 63% | 61% |
| Breaks of serve | 45% | 37% | 37% |
| Aces per service game | 0.19 | 0.16 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.42 | 0.49 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/12 | 1/4 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 49 | 12 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Leyre Romero Gormaz
- 12/10/26WAlice Rame#287WTA 125 Lisbon · R324:6 6:2 7:5
- 23/09/26LJessica Pieri#315WTA 125 Tolentino · R166:3 4:6 1:6
- 21/09/26WPolona Hercog#224WTA 125 Tolentino · R326:7 6:1 7:6
- 15/09/26LMartina Trevisan#301WTA 125 Valencia · R326:1 2:6 4:6
- 09/09/26LAlevtina Ibragimova#169WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R165:7 1:6
- 07/09/26WBerfu Cengiz#231WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R326:7 7:5 7:6
- 25/08/26LJoanna Garland#147WTA US Open · Q16:4 4:6 5:7
- 27/07/26LSara Sorribes Tormo#175WTA 125 Targu Mures · R326:3 3:6 3:6
- 23/07/26LOleksandra Oliynykova#51WTA Hamburg · R166:7 6:3 2:6
- 21/07/26WVeronika Erjavec#144WTA Hamburg · R326:2 6:2
Raluca Georgiana Serban
- 13/10/26WAnalu FreitasWTA 125 Lisbon · R326:1 6:1
- 12/10/26WSara Cakarevic#609WTA 125 Lisbon · Q27:5 6:1
- 11/10/26WSarah van Emst#527WTA 125 Lisbon · Q16:2 4:6 6:4
- 14/09/26LLea Boskovic#334WTA 125 Ljubljana · Q17:6 6:7 2:6
- 08/09/26LFrancesca Jones#104WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R324:6 3:6
- 21/07/26LNoemi Basiletti#241WTA 125 Palermo · R324:6 1:6
- 19/07/26LAmarissa Kiara Toth#447WTA 125 Palermo · Q21:6 0:1
- 18/07/26WAnastasia Bertacchi#812WTA 125 Palermo · Q15:7 6:4 6:0
- 15/06/26LMaiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz#52WTA 125 Brescia · R321:6 6:7
- 04/05/26LMaria Sara Popa#476WTA 125 Istanbul · Q25:7 6:3 4:6
Elo over the last year
Leyre Romero GormazRaluca Georgiana Serban
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Romero Gormaz | R. Serban | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 3–538% | 0–20% |
| Clay | 24–1660% | 4–640% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
L. Romero Gormaz 1–1 R. Serban
- 31/01/26Winner: Leyre Romero Gormaz6:2 2:6 6:3
- 27/06/23Winner: Raluca Georgiana Serban5:7 4:6
Road through the tournament
Leyre Romero Gormaz
- 12/10/26WAlice Rame#287WTA 125 Lisbon · R324:6 6:2 7:5
Raluca Georgiana Serban
- 11/10/26WSarah van Emst#527WTA 125 Lisbon · Q16:2 4:6 6:4
- 12/10/26WSara Cakarevic#609WTA 125 Lisbon · Q27:5 6:1
- 13/10/26WAnalu FreitasWTA 125 Lisbon · R326:1 6:1