Safiullin vs Ivashka 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 61% → with the players' profiles 58%
Safiullin: 4 matches in a row under 22.5 games
Where the number comes from: market alone 38% → with the players' profiles 35%
Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Safiullin 9 of 20, Ivashka 9 of 20 (tour average 33%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: R. Safiullin 72% · I. Ivashka 28%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 74% | 26% | 76% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 35% | 67% |
| 20.5 | 56% | 44% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 35% | 65% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 33% | 67% | 38% |
Sample: 2,676 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 21.5out · 30 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Roman Safiullin | Ilya Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Aces | 5 |
| 4 | Double faults | 1 |
| 65% | First serves in | 75% |
| 78% | First-serve points won | 64% |
| 58% | Second-serve points won | 44% |
| 5/6 | Break points converted | 1/6 |
| 13/14 | Service games held | 10/15 |
| 71% | Service points won | 59% |
| 41% | Return points won | 29% |
| 104 | Total points won | 82 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| R. Safiullin | Tour | I. Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 83% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 30% |
| Aces per service game | 0.48 | 0.41 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/25 | 9/17 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 56% | |
| Matches in the sample | 56 | 45 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Roman Safiullin
- 09/10/26LFrancisco Cerúndolo#21ATP Shanghai · R646:7 3:6
- 07/10/26WRinky Hijikata#86ATP Shanghai · R1287:5 6:3
- 06/10/26WShintaro Mochizuki#129ATP Shanghai · Q26:2 6:3
- 05/10/26WAlexis Galarneau#182ATP Shanghai · Q16:3 6:0
- 03/10/26LAndrey Rublev#22ATP Beijing · R162:6 6:3 4:6
- 01/10/26WFlavio Cobolli#6ATP Beijing · R326:3 6:2
- 28/09/26LDaniil Medvedev#5ATP Hangzhou · SF5:7 4:6
- 27/09/26WYunchaokete Bu#91ATP Hangzhou · QF6:3 6:3
- 26/09/26WQuentin Halys#46ATP Hangzhou · R165:7 6:3 6:4
- 24/09/26WFajing Sun#296ATP Hangzhou · R326:2 6:0
Ilya Ivashka
- 15/10/26LLiam Draxl#197Challenger Jinan · R164:6 6:0 4:6
- 14/10/26WMarat Sharipov#225Challenger Jinan · R323:4
- 12/10/26WKaichi Uchida#417Challenger Jinan · Q26:2 6:4
- 11/10/26WBeibit Zhukayev#526Challenger Jinan · Q16:0 6:4
- 13/09/26WMarat Sharipov#225Challenger Shanghai · F6:4 3:6 7:6
- 12/09/26WLuca Castelnuovo#449Challenger Shanghai · SF6:3 6:4
- 11/09/26WYi Zhou#280Challenger Shanghai · QF6:3 6:3
- 10/09/26WBernard Tomic#180Challenger Shanghai · R166:4 4:6 6:2
- 08/09/26WYu Hsiou Hsu#287Challenger Shanghai · R326:3 6:3
- 04/09/26LIlia Simakin#143Challenger Zhangjiagang · QF6:7 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| R. Safiullin | I. Ivashka | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 10–953% | 30–1173% |
| Clay | 20–483% | 2–250% |
| Grass | 9–469% | 0–0 |
Head to head
R. Safiullin 1–1 I. Ivashka
- 08/03/23Winner: Ilya Ivashka4:6 2:6
- 09/02/21Winner: Roman Safiullin6:4 6:3 6:4