Safiullin vs Simakin 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 80%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Safiullin won 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: market alone 37% → with the players' profiles 33%
Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Safiullin 9 of 20, Simakin 9 of 20 (tour average 33%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: R. Safiullin 62% · I. Simakin 39%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 76% | 24% | 76% |
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 67% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 51% | 49% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 63% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 66% | 38% |
Sample: 2,934 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 22.0in · 20 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Roman Safiullin | Ilia Simakin | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Aces | 3 |
| 1 | Double faults | 2 |
| 64% | First serves in | 61% |
| 82% | First-serve points won | 63% |
| 74% | Second-serve points won | 44% |
| 3/10 | Break points converted | 1/1 |
| 9/10 | Service games held | 6/9 |
| 79% | Service points won | 56% |
| 44% | Return points won | 21% |
| 73 | Total points won | 50 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| R. Safiullin | Tour | I. Simakin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 83% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.49 | 0.53 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/26 | 17/29 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 45% | |
| Matches in the sample | 57 | 68 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Roman Safiullin
- 17/10/26WIlya Ivashka#221ATP Almaty · Q16:1 6:7 6:4
- 09/10/26LFrancisco Cerúndolo#21ATP Shanghai · R646:7 3:6
- 07/10/26WRinky Hijikata#86ATP Shanghai · R1287:5 6:3
- 06/10/26WShintaro Mochizuki#129ATP Shanghai · Q26:2 6:3
- 05/10/26WAlexis Galarneau#182ATP Shanghai · Q16:3 6:0
- 03/10/26LAndrey Rublev#22ATP Beijing · R162:6 6:3 4:6
- 01/10/26WFlavio Cobolli#6ATP Beijing · R326:3 6:2
- 28/09/26LDaniil Medvedev#5ATP Hangzhou · SF5:7 4:6
- 27/09/26WYunchaokete Bu#91ATP Hangzhou · QF6:3 6:3
- 26/09/26WQuentin Halys#46ATP Hangzhou · R165:7 6:3 6:4
Ilia Simakin
- 17/10/26WLuka Pavlovic#207ATP Almaty · Q16:3 3:6 7:6
- 13/10/26LMartin Landaluce#67Challenger Jinan · R323:6 3:6
- 08/10/26LCamilo Ugo Carabelli#75ATP Shanghai · R1286:2 2:6 5:7
- 06/10/26WRigele TE#734ATP Shanghai · Q26:3 6:2
- 05/10/26WLuka Pavlovic#207ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 6:4 6:1
- 20/09/26WRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#263Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · F6:7 6:4 6:3
- 19/09/26WHunter Heck#595Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · SF6:7 7:5 6:2
- 18/09/26WCruz Hewitt#324Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · QF6:3 6:1
- 17/09/26WBlake Ellis#445Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R166:4 6:2
- 15/09/26WTimofei Derepasko#609Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R326:4 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| R. Safiullin | I. Simakin | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 11–955% | 44–1377% |
| Clay | 20–483% | 3–827% |
| Grass | 9–469% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Roman Safiullin
- 17/10/26WIlya Ivashka#221ATP Almaty · Q16:1 6:7 6:4
Ilia Simakin
- 17/10/26WLuka Pavlovic#207ATP Almaty · Q16:3 3:6 7:6