Sakamoto vs Khachanov 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 70%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Khachanov won 7 of the last 10 matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: R. Sakamoto 39% · K. Khachanov 61%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 75% | 25% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 68% | 32% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 54% | 46% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 4,549 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 23.0in · 18 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Rei Sakamoto | Karen Khachanov | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 9 |
| 3 | Double faults | 0 |
| 67% | First serves in | 71% |
| 65% | First-serve points won | 93% |
| 33% | Second-serve points won | 75% |
| 0/0 | Break points converted | 3/10 |
| 6/9 | Service games held | 9/9 |
| 54% | Service points won | 88% |
| 12% | Return points won | 46% |
| 44 | Total points won | 70 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| R. Sakamoto | Tour | K. Khachanov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 67% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 84% | 76% | 85% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.67 | 0.56 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.19 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 23% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 19/42 | 10/29 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 48% | |
| Matches in the sample | 74 | 50 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Rei Sakamoto
- 18/10/26WGabriel Diallo#149ATP Almaty · Q22:6 6:4 6:4
- 17/10/26WAmir Omarkhanov#615ATP Almaty · Q16:2 6:1
- 11/10/26LAlex de Minaur#8ATP Shanghai · R326:7 4:6
- 09/10/26WAndrey Rublev#22ATP Shanghai · R646:4 6:4
- 07/10/26WMarco Trungelliti#90ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 7:5
- 06/10/26WKyrian Jacquet#85ATP Shanghai · Q27:6 4:6 7:6
- 05/10/26WSeongchan HongATP Shanghai · Q16:3 7:5
- 30/09/26LMatteo Arnaldi#36ATP Tokyo · R326:2 4:6 4:6
- 08/09/26LJi Sung Nam#819Challenger Shanghai · R326:7 4:6
- 02/09/26LFrances Tiafoe#9ATP US Open · R643:6 6:7 5:7
Karen Khachanov
- 13/10/26LAlex de Minaur#8ATP Shanghai · R163:6 4:6
- 11/10/26WAdrian Mannarino#79ATP Shanghai · R326:2 6:4
- 09/10/26WArthur Fery#34ATP Shanghai · R647:6 6:7 7:6
- 04/10/26LHubert Hurkacz#30ATP Beijing · QF6:7 2:6
- 02/10/26WAlex Molcan#80ATP Beijing · R167:5 6:3
- 30/09/26WFelix Auger-Aliassime#7ATP Beijing · R326:3 6:3
- 11/09/26LAlexander Zverev#2ATP US Open · SF3:6 6:7 6:7
- 09/09/26WAlexander Blockx#27ATP US Open · QF6:2 7:5 3:2
- 07/09/26WLearner Tien#18ATP US Open · R167:5 4:6 6:7 6:1 6:4
- 05/09/26WBenjamin Bonzi#100ATP US Open · R326:3 6:2 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| R. Sakamoto | K. Khachanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 36–1965% | 18–1555% |
| Clay | 9–660% | 7–654% |
| Grass | 2–250% | 2–250% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Rei Sakamoto
- 17/10/26WAmir Omarkhanov#615ATP Almaty · Q16:2 6:1
- 18/10/26WGabriel Diallo#149ATP Almaty · Q22:6 6:4 6:4
Karen Khachanov
First match in this tournament.