WTA WuhanWTA 1000Round of 64hardbest of three sets

Sawangkaew vs Fręch 0:2: result and our tips

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Mananchaya SawangkaewWTA #83Elo 1832hard 1802
0:2final3:6 6:7(5)
Magdalena FręchWTA #56Elo 1771hard 1763

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 24.5Won64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Sawangkaew 15 of 20, Frech 17 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mananchaya Sawangkaew43%
Magdalena Fręch57%

Elo: M. Sawangkaew 56% · M. Fręch 45%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Sawangkaew28%
2:1 M. Sawangkaew18%
2:1 M. Fręch20%
2:0 M. Fręch34%

First set

Mananchaya Sawangkaew47%
Magdalena Fręch53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%64%32%

Sample: 2,375 matches

Games handicap

Magdalena Fręch −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Mananchaya SawangkaewMagdalena Fręch
1Aces4
5Double faults1
99%First serves in98%
48%First-serve points won56%
0%Second-serve points won50%
4/11Break points converted5/16
5/10Service games held7/11
47%Service points won56%
44%Return points won53%
70Total points won84

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. SawangkaewTourM. Fręch
Service points won57%56%57%
Return points won45%44%43%
Service games held67%63%67%
Breaks of serve39%37%33%
Aces per service game0.200.26
Double faults per game0.460.22
Sets with a tie-break8%14%
Tie-breaks won5/87/15
Wins in straight sets69%62%
Matches in the sample4446

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mananchaya Sawangkaew

Magdalena Fręch

Elo over the last year

Mananchaya SawangkaewMagdalena Fręch

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. SawangkaewM. Fręch
Hard court17–1161%18–1653%
Clay0–02–529%
Grass12–475%1–420%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Mananchaya Sawangkaew

Magdalena Fręch