Challenger LisbonChallenger 125Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Schoen vs Gulin 2:0: result and our tips

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Patrick SchoenATP #343Elo 1619clay 1619
2:0final6:0 6:3
Svyatoslav GulinATP #545Elo 1713clay 1722

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Gulin: 11 matches in a row without a deciding set; No third set in recent matches: Schoen 9 of 11, Gulin 16 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won56%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Gulin: 8 matches in a row under 22.5 games; Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Schoen 8 of 11, Gulin 14 of 20 (tour average 60%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Gulin 2-0Lost37%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Schoen lost 0-2 in 4 of the last 11 matches, Gulin won 2-0 in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Patrick Schoen45%
Svyatoslav Gulin55%

Elo: P. Schoen 36% · S. Gulin 65%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Schoen26%
2:1 P. Schoen18%
2:1 S. Gulin21%
2:0 S. Gulin35%

First set

Patrick Schoen45%
Svyatoslav Gulin55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%30%68%
19.562%38%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,684 matches

Games handicap

Svyatoslav Gulin −1.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Patrick SchoenSvyatoslav Gulin
0Aces2
0Double faults2
73%First serves in59%
88%First-serve points won58%
89%Second-serve points won27%
5/8Break points converted0/2
7/7Service games held3/8
88%Service points won45%
55%Return points won12%
58Total points won28

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. SchoenTourS. Gulin
Service points won62%62%62%
Return points won41%38%42%
Service games held76%76%75%
Breaks of serve29%24%31%
Aces per service game0.280.32
Double faults per game0.210.21
Sets with a tie-break13%12%
Tie-breaks won3/37/14
Wins in straight sets71%79%
Matches in the sample1150

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Patrick Schoen

  • 18/10/26WFrancisco Rocha#893Challenger Lisbon · Q17:6 4:6 7:6
  • 12/10/26LMichael Vrbensky#668Challenger Maia · Q23:6 4:6
  • 11/10/26WGuilherme ValdoleirosChallenger Maia · Q16:2 6:1
  • 08/10/26LMax Alcala Gurri#132Challenger Braga · R161:6 0:6
  • 07/10/26WAndrej Nedic#237Challenger Braga · R326:1 7:6
  • 05/10/26WFilip Misolic#495Challenger Braga · Q26:1 6:2
  • 04/10/26WAlberto Barroso Campos#710Challenger Braga · Q16:1 6:3
  • 01/09/26LFacundo Mena#198Challenger Porto · R324:6 2:6
  • 31/08/26WMatyas Fuele#622Challenger Porto · Q26:4 2:6 6:4
  • 30/08/26WBoris AriasChallenger Porto · Q16:2 6:3

Svyatoslav Gulin

  • 18/10/26WTakeru YuzukiChallenger Lisbon · Q16:4 6:4
  • 15/10/26LGianluca Cadenasso#183Challenger Catania · R165:7 4:6
  • 13/10/26WFranco Agamenone#359Challenger Catania · R327:5 6:2
  • 12/10/26WPedro Rodenas#623Challenger Catania · Q26:2 7:5
  • 11/10/26WTilen KovacChallenger Catania · Q16:1 6:1
  • 28/09/26LFederico Arnaboldi#469Challenger Bari · Q24:6 2:4
  • 27/09/26WLuis Carlos Alvarez Valdes#923Challenger Bari · Q17:5 6:1
  • 21/09/26LPavel Lagutin#390Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q26:7 0:3
  • 20/09/26WRyo Tabata#933Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q17:6 6:1
  • 08/09/26LLukas Neumayer#168Challenger Tulln · R324:6 2:6

Elo over the last year

Patrick SchoenSvyatoslav Gulin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. SchoenS. Gulin
Hard court0–05–550%
Clay7–464%24–1660%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Patrick Schoen

Svyatoslav Gulin