Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Schoen vs Valdoleiros 2:0: result and our tips

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Patrick SchoenATP #368Elo 1674clay 1674
2:0final6:2 6:1
Guilherme ValdoleirosElo 1201clay 1210

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Patrick Schoen97%
Guilherme Valdoleiros3%

Elo: P. Schoen 94% · G. Valdoleiros 7%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Schoen87%
2:1 P. Schoen10%
2:1 G. Valdoleiros2%
2:0 G. Valdoleiros2%

First set

Patrick Schoen93%
Guilherme Valdoleiros7%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes12%
no88%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 16.5 · 50%market (no margin): 48%

The 16.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 17.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
13.587%13%98%
14.577%23%96%
15.563%37%91%
16.550%50%84%
17.538%62%76%
18.532%68%68%
19.525%75%59%

Sample: 985 matches

Games handicap

Patrick Schoen −7.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes11%

tour average 28%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 16.5out · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Patrick SchoenGuilherme Valdoleiros
0Aces1
0Double faults2
64%First serves in68%
84%First-serve points won49%
64%Second-serve points won33%
5/9Break points converted0/0
7/7Service games held3/8
77%Service points won44%
56%Return points won23%
62Total points won34

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. SchoenTourG. Valdoleiros
Service points won61%62%54%
Return points won42%38%34%
Service games held74%76%57%
Breaks of serve30%24%16%
Aces per service game0.350.27
Double faults per game0.210.29
Sets with a tie-break6%0%
Tie-breaks won1/10/0
Wins in straight sets80%—
Matches in the sample84

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Patrick Schoen

Guilherme Valdoleiros

  • 04/10/26LVladyslav Orlov#507Challenger Braga · Q11:6 1:6
  • 27/09/26LRobin Bertrand#396Challenger Porto 2 · Q11:6 2:6
  • 30/08/26LNiels Visker#415Challenger Porto · Q12:6 0:6
  • 23/11/25LAndrej Martin#387Challenger Maia · Q11:6 2:6
  • 24/08/25LDavid Jorda Sanchis#193Challenger Porto 2 · Q13:6 0:6
  • 24/11/24LAnton Matusevich#314Challenger Maia · Q12:6 2:6
  • 25/08/24LPedro AraujoChallenger Porto 2 · Q10:6 1:6
  • 26/11/23LAlexey Vatutin#918Challenger Maia · Q14:6 0:6
  • 27/11/22LDenis IstominChallenger Maia · Q11:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Patrick SchoenGuilherme Valdoleiros

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. SchoenG. Valdoleiros
Hard court0–00–10%
Clay5–363%0–30%

Head to head

They have not met yet.