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Challenger SeoulChallenger 175Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Shimabukuro vs Kumstat 2:0: result and our tips

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Sho ShimabukuroATP #106Elo 1782hard 1742
2:0final6:4 6:0
Jan KumstatATP #189Elo 1885hard 1720

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sho Shimabukuro57%
Jan Kumstat43%

Elo: S. Shimabukuro 53% · J. Kumstat 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Shimabukuro36%
2:1 S. Shimabukuro21%
2:1 J. Kumstat17%
2:0 J. Kumstat26%

First set

Sho Shimabukuro55%
Jan Kumstat45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%28%62%
20.564%36%54%
21.558%43%49%
22.551%49%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,818 matches

Games handicap

S. Shimabukuro −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes42%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.5out · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Sho ShimabukuroJan Kumstat
4Aces5
1Double faults4
57%First serves in58%
75%First-serve points won63%
57%Second-serve points won39%
4/8Break points converted0/0
8/8Service games held4/8
67%Service points won53%
47%Return points won33%
59Total points won45

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. ShimabukuroTourJ. Kumstat
Service points won64%62%67%
Return points won37%38%39%
Service games held78%76%85%
Breaks of serve24%24%24%
Aces per service game0.530.67
Double faults per game0.250.23
Sets with a tie-break17%15%
Tie-breaks won17/288/13
Wins in straight sets68%61%
Matches in the sample7137

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sho Shimabukuro

Jan Kumstat

Elo over the last year

Sho ShimabukuroJan Kumstat

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. ShimabukuroJ. Kumstat
Hard court32–2457%4–544%
Clay1–325%24–486%
Grass7–464%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.