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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Sorribes Tormo vs Sonmez 1:2: result and our tips

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Sara Sorribes TormoWTA #167Elo 1683hard 1663
1:2final1:6 6:4 2:6
Zeynep SonmezWTA #64Elo 1811hard 1778

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Sorribes Tormo 14 of 20, Sonmez 12 of 20 (tour average 56%)

Long shot
1st Set Winner: Sorribes TormoLost34%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Sorribes Tormo won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Sonmez lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sara Sorribes Tormo30%
Zeynep Sonmez70%

Elo: S. Sorribes Tormo 34% · Z. Sonmez 66%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Sorribes Tormo17%
2:1 S. Sorribes Tormo14%
2:1 Z. Sonmez21%
2:0 Z. Sonmez47%

First set

Sara Sorribes Tormo34%
Zeynep Sonmez66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%72%
18.567%33%64%
19.559%41%56%
20.552%48%49%
21.546%54%44%
22.540%60%38%
23.536%64%34%

Sample: 1,979 matches

Games handicap

Z. Sonmez −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 25 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Sara Sorribes TormoZeynep Sonmez
2Aces3
6Double faults1
67%First serves in76%
58%First-serve points won61%
32%Second-serve points won55%
4/11Break points converted7/14
5/12Service games held9/13
49%Service points won60%
40%Return points won51%
70Total points won87

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. Sorribes TormoTourZ. Sonmez
Service points won53%56%56%
Return points won48%44%46%
Service games held58%63%64%
Breaks of serve45%37%40%
Aces per service game0.060.10
Double faults per game0.260.25
Sets with a tie-break8%9%
Tie-breaks won3/89/13
Wins in straight sets62%57%
Matches in the sample4161

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sara Sorribes Tormo

  • 17/10/26LMaddison Inglis#130WTA Osaka · Q15:7 4:6
  • 11/10/26LDaria Kasatkina#75WTA Wuhan · Q26:2 2:6 1:6
  • 10/10/26WTalia Gibson#38WTA Wuhan · Q17:5 6:0
  • 02/10/26LAliona Falei#196WTA 125 Jingshan · QF4:6 2:6
  • 30/09/26WWushuang Zheng#423WTA 125 Jingshan · R164:6 6:2 6:3
  • 29/09/26WViktoria Morvayova#274WTA 125 Jingshan · R326:0 2:6 7:6
  • 13/09/26LCaroline Dolehide#222WTA Guadalajara · Q26:4 3:6 6:7
  • 12/09/26WEna Koike#321WTA Guadalajara · Q17:5 6:2
  • 09/09/26LKaitlin Quevedo#86WTA 125 Barranquilla · R167:5 5:7 1:6
  • 08/09/26WCadence Brace#328WTA 125 Barranquilla · R326:2 4:6 6:4

Zeynep Sonmez

Elo over the last year

Sara Sorribes TormoZeynep Sonmez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. Sorribes TormoZ. Sonmez
Hard court6–843%20–1853%
Clay14–1156%6–460%
Grass1–150%9–469%

Head to head

S. Sorribes Tormo 1–0 Z. Sonmez

  • 24/09/24Winner: S. Sorribes Tormo6:1 6:1