WTA TokyoWTA 500Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Starodubtseva vs Sasnovich 0:2: result and our tips

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Yuliia StarodubtsevaWTA #54Elo 1747hard 1697
0:2final4:6 5:7
Aliaksandra SasnovichWTA #112Elo 1777hard 1766

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Starodubtseva: 5 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yuliia Starodubtseva41%
Aliaksandra Sasnovich59%

Elo: Y. Starodubtseva 40% · A. Sasnovich 60%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Starodubtseva27%
2:1 Y. Starodubtseva17%
2:1 A. Sasnovich21%
2:0 A. Sasnovich35%

First set

Yuliia Starodubtseva46%
Aliaksandra Sasnovich54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,453 matches

Games handicap

Aliaksandra Sasnovich −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.0in · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Yuliia StarodubtsevaAliaksandra Sasnovich
0Aces3
2Double faults3
74%First serves in72%
48%First-serve points won71%
52%Second-serve points won29%
3/6Break points converted5/11
6/11Service games held8/11
49%Service points won59%
41%Return points won51%
71Total points won86

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. StarodubtsevaTourA. Sasnovich
Service points won57%56%57%
Return points won45%44%46%
Service games held65%63%66%
Breaks of serve40%37%41%
Aces per service game0.150.28
Double faults per game0.210.32
Sets with a tie-break10%10%
Tie-breaks won7/144/13
Wins in straight sets72%77%
Matches in the sample5760

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yuliia Starodubtseva

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Elo over the last year

Yuliia StarodubtsevaAliaksandra Sasnovich

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. StarodubtsevaA. Sasnovich
Hard court15–1845%24–1759%
Clay13–765%8–657%
Grass1–325%2–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.