Fernandez vs Sasnovich 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Sasnovich: 11 matches in a row under 22.5 games
Other tips
- Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost64%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Sasnovich: 11 matches in a row without a deciding set
- Match Winner: FernandezWon67%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 67%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Fernandez won 8 of the last 10 matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: L. Fernandez 69% · A. Sasnovich 31%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 77% | 23% | 72% |
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 34% |
Sample: 2,123 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 21.0out · 34 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Leylah Fernandez | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 3 |
| 8 | Double faults | 6 |
| 64% | First serves in | 67% |
| 68% | First-serve points won | 56% |
| 38% | Second-serve points won | 47% |
| 8/15 | Break points converted | 5/6 |
| 11/16 | Service games held | 9/17 |
| 57% | Service points won | 53% |
| 47% | Return points won | 43% |
| 109 | Total points won | 101 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Fernandez | Tour | A. Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 56% | 57% |
| Return points won | 42% | 44% | 46% |
| Service games held | 71% | 63% | 67% |
| Breaks of serve | 33% | 37% | 42% |
| Aces per service game | 0.23 | 0.28 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.42 | 0.32 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/15 | 3/12 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 77% | |
| Matches in the sample | 55 | 59 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Leylah Fernandez
- 19/10/26WElise Mertens#15WTA Ningbo · R322:6 6:3 7:5
- 15/10/26LJeļena Ostapenko#24WTA Wuhan · R161:6 6:1 4:6
- 14/10/26WHan Shi#177WTA Wuhan · R326:3 6:4
- 12/10/26WEkaterina Alexandrova#33WTA Wuhan · R646:4 3:6 6:3
- 03/10/26LKamilla Rakhimova#67WTA Beijing · R642:6 6:4 3:6
- 27/09/26WTalia Gibson#42WTA Singapore · F7:5 6:0
- 26/09/26WMaja Chwalińska#11WTA Singapore · SF1:6 6:4 6:2
- 25/09/26WMirra Andreeva#3WTA Singapore · QF6:2 7:5
- 23/09/26WAlycia Parks#64WTA Singapore · R166:4 6:3
- 21/09/26WKyoka Okamura#246WTA Singapore · R326:2 6:3
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
- 19/10/26WDaria Kasatkina#74WTA Ningbo · R326:4 6:2
- 18/10/26WAnhelina Kalinina#51WTA Ningbo · Q25:3
- 17/10/26WAnna Bondar#75WTA Ningbo · Q17:5 6:1
- 09/10/26LElvina Kalieva#113WTA 125 Suzhou · QF3:6 6:7
- 07/10/26WLinda Fruhvirtova#158WTA 125 Suzhou · R166:0 6:2
- 05/10/26WXinxin Yao#270WTA 125 Suzhou · R327:5 6:1
- 02/10/26LEkaterina Alexandrova#33WTA Beijing · R641:6 4:6
- 30/09/26WTalia Gibson#42WTA Beijing · R1286:1 6:4
- 29/09/26WVarvara Lepchenko#187WTA Beijing · Q26:4 6:1
- 28/09/26WJunhan Zhang#574WTA Beijing · Q16:2 6:0
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Fernandez | A. Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 19–1654% | 24–1660% |
| Clay | 8–753% | 8–657% |
| Grass | 1–420% | 2–340% |
Head to head
L. Fernandez 1–1 A. Sasnovich
- 21/10/24Winner: Leylah Fernandez5:7 6:2 5:2
- 09/05/23Winner: Aliaksandra Sasnovich6:7 6:4 3:6
Road through the tournament
Leylah Fernandez
- 19/10/26WElise Mertens#15WTA Ningbo · R322:6 6:3 7:5
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
- 17/10/26WAnna Bondar#75WTA Ningbo · Q17:5 6:1
- 18/10/26WAnhelina Kalinina#51WTA Ningbo · Q25:3
- 19/10/26WDaria Kasatkina#74WTA Ningbo · R326:4 6:2