WTA 125 SamsunSemifinalhardbest of three sets

Stefanini vs Blinkova 2:0: result and our tips

·

Lucrezia StefaniniWTA #106Elo 1735hard 1719
2:0final6:2 6:3
Anna BlinkovaWTA #73Elo 1788hard 1774

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: BlinkovaLost66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Blinkova won 8 of the last 10 matches

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won59%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Stefanini 15 of 20, Blinkova 14 of 20 (tour average 63%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won41%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Stefanini 12 of 20, Blinkova 11 of 20 (tour average 47%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lucrezia Stefanini34%
Anna Blinkova66%

Elo: L. Stefanini 42% · A. Blinkova 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Stefanini21%
2:1 L. Stefanini14%
2:1 A. Blinkova22%
2:0 A. Blinkova43%

First set

Lucrezia Stefanini39%
Anna Blinkova61%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%70%
18.567%33%60%
19.559%41%53%
20.551%49%46%
21.546%54%41%
22.541%59%37%
23.537%63%33%

Sample: 2,144 matches

Games handicap

Anna Blinkova −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Lucrezia StefaniniAnna Blinkova
0Aces1
0Double faults2
87%First serves in74%
57%First-serve points won44%
60%Second-serve points won50%
5/8Break points converted2/7
7/9Service games held3/8
57%Service points won45%
55%Return points won43%
72Total points won56

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. StefaniniTourA. Blinkova
Service points won52%56%54%
Return points won49%44%46%
Service games held55%63%59%
Breaks of serve46%37%42%
Aces per service game0.040.14
Double faults per game0.270.35
Sets with a tie-break10%10%
Tie-breaks won4/1111/16
Wins in straight sets61%76%
Matches in the sample5168

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lucrezia Stefanini

Anna Blinkova

Elo over the last year

Lucrezia StefaniniAnna Blinkova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. StefaniniA. Blinkova
Hard court23–1659%23–1856%
Clay1–420%8–947%
Grass4–357%6–460%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Lucrezia Stefanini

Anna Blinkova

See also