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WTA 125 CourmayeurRound of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Stefanini vs Serban 2:0: result and our tips

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Lucrezia StefaniniWTA #118Elo 1734hard 1719
2:0final6:3 6:2
Isabella Maria SerbanWTA #465Elo 1443hard 1427

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 16.5Won65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Stefanini: 20 matches in a row over 16.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lucrezia Stefanini90%
Isabella Maria Serban10%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Stefanini73%
2:1 L. Stefanini16%
2:1 I. Serban5%
2:0 I. Serban5%

First set

Lucrezia Stefanini84%
Isabella Maria Serban16%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes21%
no79%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.0 · 45%market (no margin): 50%

The 18.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.588%12%93%
15.577%23%87%
16.565%35%79%
17.555%45%70%
18.545%55%61%
19.538%62%53%
20.531%69%46%

Sample: 898 matches

Games handicap

L. Stefanini −6.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes15%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 18.0in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Lucrezia StefaniniIsabella Maria Serban
1Aces0
3Double faults7
57%First serves in67%
69%First-serve points won50%
52%Second-serve points won36%
5/14Break points converted2/9
7/9Service games held3/8
62%Service points won46%
55%Return points won38%
75Total points won54

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. StefaniniTourI. Serban
Service points won53%56%54%
Return points won48%44%43%
Service games held57%63%59%
Breaks of serve44%37%33%
Aces per service game0.040.22
Double faults per game0.260.34
Sets with a tie-break9%0%
Tie-breaks won4/110/0
Wins in straight sets63%100%
Matches in the sample513

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lucrezia Stefanini

Isabella Maria Serban

  • 11/10/26LZongyu Li#298WTA 125 Rovereto · Q12:6 1:6
  • 23/09/26LRebeka Masarova#158WTA 125 Tolentino · R167:5 2:6 0:6
  • 22/09/26WAneta Laboutkova#402WTA 125 Tolentino · R326:3 6:4

Elo over the last year

Lucrezia StefaniniIsabella Maria Serban

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. StefaniniI. Serban
Hard court22–1756%0–10%
Clay1–420%1–150%
Grass4–357%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.