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WTA OsakaWTA 250Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Stoiana vs Siniaková 0:2: result and our tips

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Mary StoianaWTA #113Elo 1818hard 1785
0:2final1:6 2:6
Kateřina SiniakováWTA #49Elo 1908hard 1886

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mary Stoiana28%
Kateřina Siniaková72%

Elo: M. Stoiana 36% · K. Siniaková 64%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Stoiana16%
2:1 M. Stoiana14%
2:1 K. Siniaková21%
2:0 K. Siniaková50%

First set

Mary Stoiana33%
Kateřina Siniaková68%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%72%
18.566%34%64%
19.558%42%56%
20.551%49%49%
21.545%55%44%
22.539%61%38%
23.535%65%34%

Sample: 1,835 matches

Games handicap

K. Siniaková −4.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Mary StoianaKateřina Siniaková
1Aces0
1Double faults3
81%First serves in72%
52%First-serve points won76%
25%Second-serve points won47%
0/6Break points converted4/8
3/7Service games held8/8
46%Service points won68%
32%Return points won54%
36Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. StoianaTourK. Siniaková
Service points won57%56%57%
Return points won45%44%44%
Service games held66%63%67%
Breaks of serve37%37%36%
Aces per service game0.130.18
Double faults per game0.270.41
Sets with a tie-break13%9%
Tie-breaks won12/174/8
Wins in straight sets53%75%
Matches in the sample5239

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mary Stoiana

Kateřina Siniaková

Elo over the last year

Mary StoianaKateřina Siniaková

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. StoianaK. Siniaková
Hard court20–1361%12–1250%
Clay4–357%4–450%
Grass8–467%4–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Mary Stoiana

Kateřina Siniaková